Will your flight be late?
Tell us the flight. Pick the day you’re flying and we’ll give you the odds; they get sharper as the weather forecast, the FAA and your plane’s earlier flights come into focus.
0ground stops in effect right now
3FAA delay programs right now
16%average chance of a late departure on Wednesday
<1%average chance of a cancellation on Wednesday
Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
Airports on Wednesday, October 14
Forecasts for Wed, Oct 14, worst first. Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET.
- Chance a departure that hour leaves 15+ min late on a normal day
- Extra today
DEN
Denver
#1
Rough weather, no program posted yet
36%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~10 of 954
+21 pts above normal
▼ 2 pts in 24 h
30%
Worst hour 6 PM · 56%
20 kt gusts, 400 ft ceiling, 0.43 in rain
DFW
Dallas–Fort Worth
#2
22%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~9 of 1023
+4 pts above normal
▼ 1 pt in 24 h
30%
Worst hour 6 PM · 30%
22 kt gusts, 1100 ft ceiling
ORD
Chicago O'Hare
#3
Rough weather, no program posted yet
20%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~14 of 1279
+8 pts above normal
▼ 1 pt in 24 h
30%
Worst hour 8 PM · 26%
15 kt gusts, 200 ft ceiling, 0.25 in rain
PHX
Phoenix
#4
Departure delays 16 minutes–30 minutes
19%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 600
+2 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 6 PM · 29%
9 kt gusts, high ceiling
IAH
Houston Bush
#5
19%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~6 of 590
+5 pts above normal
▲ 1 pt in 24 h
30%
Worst hour 5 PM · 25%
22 kt gusts, high ceiling, 0.01 in rain
LAS
Las Vegas
#6
19%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~3 of 495
+3 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 4 PM · 29%
16 kt gusts, high ceiling
BOS
Boston Logan
#7
Delay program, avg 75 min (low ceilings)
17%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 532
+5 pts above normal
▼ 1 pt in 24 h
30%
Worst hour 6 PM · 25%
19 kt gusts, 200 ft ceiling, 0.01 in rain
BWI
Baltimore/Washington
#8
17%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~2 of 270
+2 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 8 PM · 26%
13 kt gusts, high ceiling
EWR
Newark
#9
17%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 508
+4 pts above normal
▲ 1 pt in 24 h
30%
Worst hour 8 PM · 27%
18 kt gusts, 2700 ft ceiling
DCA
Washington National
#10
16%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 435
+2 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 4 PM · 23%
11 kt gusts, high ceiling
LGA
New York LaGuardia
#11
Delay program, avg 32 min (wind)
16%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 521
+4 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 8 PM · 25%
17 kt gusts, 2800 ft ceiling
SFO
San Francisco
#12
15%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 546
+2 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 2 PM · 20%
12 kt gusts, high ceiling
CLT
Charlotte
#13
15%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~6 of 745
+1 pt above normal
30%
Worst hour 6 PM · 22%
8 kt gusts, high ceiling
SEA
Seattle–Tacoma
#14
15%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 576
+3 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 10 AM · 19%
7 kt gusts, 700 ft ceiling
LAX
Los Angeles
#15
15%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 693
+1 pt above normal
30%
Worst hour 5 PM · 19%
15 kt gusts, high ceiling
MIA
Miami
#16
15%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~3 of 436
+1 pt above normal
30%
Worst hour 8 PM · 21%
22 kt gusts, 4500 ft ceiling
PHL
Philadelphia
#17
14%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~4 of 418
+2 pts above normal
▲ 1 pt in 24 h
30%
Worst hour 10 PM · 21%
16 kt gusts, 3200 ft ceiling, 0.01 in rain
JFK
New York JFK
#18
14%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 525
+3 pts above normal
▲ 1 pt in 24 h
30%
Worst hour 9 PM · 20%
18 kt gusts, 2500 ft ceiling
DTW
Detroit
#19
Rough weather, no program posted yet
14%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 441
+4 pts above normal
▼ 1 pt in 24 h
30%
Worst hour 5 PM · 19%
11 kt gusts, 200 ft ceiling, 0.06 in rain
FLL
Fort Lauderdale
#20
13%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~2 of 240
+2 pts above normal
▲ 1 pt in 24 h
30%
Worst hour 8 PM · 21%
20 kt gusts, 4600 ft ceiling
MCO
Orlando
#21
12%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~3 of 469
+2 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 8 PM · 20%
19 kt gusts, high ceiling
IAD
Washington Dulles
#22
12%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~2 of 339
+2 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 5 PM · 18%
11 kt gusts, high ceiling
ATL
Atlanta
#23
12%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~8 of 1063
+1 pt above normal
30%
Worst hour 6 PM · 17%
6 kt gusts, high ceiling
SLC
Salt Lake City
#24
11%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~2 of 332
+2 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 7 PM · 26%
17 kt gusts, 3900 ft ceiling, 0.04 in rain
MSP
Minneapolis–St Paul
#25
11%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~3 of 427
+1 pt above normal
30%
Worst hour 5 PM · 16%
10 kt gusts, high ceiling
Table view
| # | Airport | FAA status | Late departure | Vs. normal | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DEN Denver | Rough weather, no program posted yet | 36% | +21 pts | 1% |
| 2 | DFW Dallas–Fort Worth | Normal operations | 22% | +4 pts | <1% |
| 3 | ORD Chicago O'Hare | Rough weather, no program posted yet | 20% | +8 pts | 1% |
| 4 | PHX Phoenix | Departure delays 16 minutes–30 minutes | 19% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 5 | IAH Houston Bush | Normal operations | 19% | +5 pts | 1% |
| 6 | LAS Las Vegas | Normal operations | 19% | +3 pts | <1% |
| 7 | BOS Boston Logan | Delay program, avg 75 min (low ceilings) | 17% | +5 pts | <1% |
| 8 | BWI Baltimore/Washington | Normal operations | 17% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 9 | EWR Newark | Normal operations | 17% | +4 pts | <1% |
| 10 | DCA Washington National | Normal operations | 16% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 11 | LGA New York LaGuardia | Delay program, avg 32 min (wind) | 16% | +4 pts | <1% |
| 12 | SFO San Francisco | Normal operations | 15% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 13 | CLT Charlotte | Normal operations | 15% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 14 | SEA Seattle–Tacoma | Normal operations | 15% | +3 pts | <1% |
| 15 | LAX Los Angeles | Normal operations | 15% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 16 | MIA Miami | Normal operations | 15% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 17 | PHL Philadelphia | Normal operations | 14% | +2 pts | 1% |
| 18 | JFK New York JFK | Normal operations | 14% | +3 pts | <1% |
| 19 | DTW Detroit | Rough weather, no program posted yet | 14% | +4 pts | <1% |
| 20 | FLL Fort Lauderdale | Normal operations | 13% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 21 | MCO Orlando | Normal operations | 12% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 22 | IAD Washington Dulles | Normal operations | 12% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 23 | ATL Atlanta | Normal operations | 12% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 24 | SLC Salt Lake City | Normal operations | 11% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 25 | MSP Minneapolis–St Paul | Normal operations | 11% | +1 pt | <1% |
“Above normal” (the red part of each bar) is how much worse the late-departure chance is than our estimate for the same flights on a normal day — today that’s the weather forecast; live FAA and airport conditions will join it. Every chart uses the same scale. Airports with too little flight data aren’t shown. Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.