Will your flight be late?
Tell us the flight. Pick the day you’re flying and we’ll give you the odds; they get sharper as the weather forecast, the FAA and your plane’s earlier flights come into focus.
0ground stops in effect right now
3FAA delay programs right now
17%average chance of a late departure on Tuesday
<1%average chance of a cancellation on Tuesday
Schedule: FAA flight plans for 6,619 flights; the other 18,978 (marked “typical”) are the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, until airlines file their plans, usually about a day ahead.
Airports on Tuesday, October 13
Forecasts for Tue, Oct 13, worst first. Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET.
- Chance a departure that hour leaves 15+ min late on a normal day
- Extra today
BOS
Boston Logan
#1
Delay program, avg 75 min (low ceilings)
26%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 522
+12 pts above normal
▲ 3 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour 8 PM · 44%
17 kt gusts, 200 ft ceiling, 0.02 in rain
IAH
Houston Bush
#2
24%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~8 of 557
+11 pts above normal
▲ 2 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour 5 PM · 39%
20 kt gusts, 900 ft ceiling, 0.2 in rain
DFW
Dallas–Fort Worth
#3
22%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~9 of 1015
+4 pts above normal
▲ 1 pt in 24 h
25%
Worst hour 5 PM · 30%
25 kt gusts, 1300 ft ceiling
PHX
Phoenix
#4
Departure delays 16 minutes–30 minutes
20%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 551
+4 pts above normal
▼ 1 pt in 24 h
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 32%
18 kt gusts, high ceiling, 0.05 in rain
LAS
Las Vegas
#5
19%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~3 of 481
+3 pts above normal
▲ 1 pt in 24 h
25%
Worst hour 8 PM · 31%
19 kt gusts, high ceiling
BWI
Baltimore/Washington
#6
19%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~2 of 275
+2 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 7 PM · 29%
15 kt gusts, high ceiling
DEN
Denver
#7
18%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~6 of 922
+2 pts above normal
▼ 2 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 29%
19 kt gusts, high ceiling
ORD
Chicago O'Hare
#8
18%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~15 of 1268
+5 pts above normal
▲ 1 pt in 24 h
25%
Worst hour 9 PM · 29%
19 kt gusts, high ceiling, 0.06 in rain
DCA
Washington National
#9
18%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 426
+3 pts above normal
▲ 1 pt in 24 h
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 26%
17 kt gusts, high ceiling
PHL
Philadelphia
#10
16%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~4 of 419
+2 pts above normal
▲ 1 pt in 24 h
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 23%
17 kt gusts, high ceiling
EWR
Newark
#11
16%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 506
+3 pts above normal
▲ 1 pt in 24 h
25%
Worst hour 11 PM · 27%
19 kt gusts, 3500 ft ceiling
LGA
New York LaGuardia
#12
Delay program, avg 32 min (wind)
16%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 510
+2 pts above normal
▲ 1 pt in 24 h
25%
Worst hour 4 PM · 23%
17 kt gusts, 2700 ft ceiling
LAX
Los Angeles
#13
16%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 668
+1 pt above normal
25%
Worst hour 8 PM · 20%
14 kt gusts, high ceiling
FLL
Fort Lauderdale
#14
16%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~2 of 240
+3 pts above normal
▲ 2 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour 8 PM · 29%
18 kt gusts, high ceiling, 0.02 in rain
SFO
San Francisco
#15
16%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 515
+2 pts above normal
▼ 2 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour 3 PM · 23%
21 kt gusts, high ceiling
CLT
Charlotte
#16
16%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 657
+1 pt above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 25%
7 kt gusts, high ceiling
MIA
Miami
#17
15%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 448
+1 pt above normal
25%
Worst hour 8 PM · 22%
18 kt gusts, high ceiling
SEA
Seattle–Tacoma
#18
14%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 573
+2 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 10 AM · 17%
6 kt gusts, 3600 ft ceiling
JFK
New York JFK
#19
14%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 531
+1 pt above normal
25%
Worst hour 10 PM · 21%
18 kt gusts, 2700 ft ceiling
SLC
Salt Lake City
#20
13%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~2 of 332
+4 pts above normal
▼ 2 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour 7 PM · 24%
16 kt gusts, 1500 ft ceiling, 0.32 in rain
DTW
Detroit
#21
13%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~3 of 438
+3 pts above normal
▼ 1 pt in 24 h
25%
Worst hour 5 PM · 20%
25 kt gusts, high ceiling
MCO
Orlando
#22
13%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~3 of 459
+1 pt above normal
25%
Worst hour 8 PM · 21%
16 kt gusts, high ceiling
IAD
Washington Dulles
#23
13%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~3 of 333
+2 pts above normal
▲ 1 pt in 24 h
25%
Worst hour 5 PM · 18%
16 kt gusts, high ceiling
ATL
Atlanta
#24
12%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~7 of 1063
+1 pt above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 19%
9 kt gusts, high ceiling
MSP
Minneapolis–St Paul
#25
11%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~3 of 421
+2 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 4 PM · 18%
12 kt gusts, 1300 ft ceiling
Table view
| # | Airport | FAA status | Late departure | Vs. normal | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOS Boston Logan | Delay program, avg 75 min (low ceilings) | 26% | +12 pts | <1% |
| 2 | IAH Houston Bush | Normal operations | 24% | +11 pts | 2% |
| 3 | DFW Dallas–Fort Worth | Normal operations | 22% | +4 pts | <1% |
| 4 | PHX Phoenix | Departure delays 16 minutes–30 minutes | 20% | +4 pts | <1% |
| 5 | LAS Las Vegas | Normal operations | 19% | +3 pts | <1% |
| 6 | BWI Baltimore/Washington | Normal operations | 19% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 7 | DEN Denver | Normal operations | 18% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 8 | ORD Chicago O'Hare | Normal operations | 18% | +5 pts | 1% |
| 9 | DCA Washington National | Normal operations | 18% | +3 pts | <1% |
| 10 | PHL Philadelphia | Normal operations | 16% | +2 pts | 1% |
| 11 | EWR Newark | Normal operations | 16% | +3 pts | <1% |
| 12 | LGA New York LaGuardia | Delay program, avg 32 min (wind) | 16% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 13 | LAX Los Angeles | Normal operations | 16% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 14 | FLL Fort Lauderdale | Normal operations | 16% | +3 pts | <1% |
| 15 | SFO San Francisco | Normal operations | 16% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 16 | CLT Charlotte | Normal operations | 16% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 17 | MIA Miami | Normal operations | 15% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 18 | SEA Seattle–Tacoma | Normal operations | 14% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 19 | JFK New York JFK | Normal operations | 14% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 20 | SLC Salt Lake City | Normal operations | 13% | +4 pts | <1% |
| 21 | DTW Detroit | Normal operations | 13% | +3 pts | <1% |
| 22 | MCO Orlando | Normal operations | 13% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 23 | IAD Washington Dulles | Normal operations | 13% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 24 | ATL Atlanta | Normal operations | 12% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 25 | MSP Minneapolis–St Paul | Normal operations | 11% | +2 pts | <1% |
“Above normal” (the red part of each bar) is how much worse the late-departure chance is than our estimate for the same flights on a normal day — today that’s the weather forecast; live FAA and airport conditions will join it. Every chart uses the same scale. Airports with too little flight data aren’t shown. Schedule: FAA flight plans for 6,619 flights; the other 18,978 (marked “typical”) are the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, until airlines file their plans, usually about a day ahead.