Will your flight be late?
Tell us the flight. Pick the day you’re flying and we’ll give you the odds; they get sharper as the weather forecast, the FAA and your plane’s earlier flights come into focus.
0ground stops in effect right now
2FAA delay programs right now
22%average chance of a late departure on Sunday
<1%average chance of a cancellation on Sunday
Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for departures at these airports on a Sunday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years. They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.
Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 11, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
Airports on Sunday, October 18
Typical odds for Sun, Oct 18, worst first. Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET.
- Chance a departure that hour leaves 15+ min late on a normal day
- Extra today
DFW
Dallas–Fort Worth
#1
29%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~20 of 1050
+5 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 40%
Clear
ORD
Chicago O'Hare
#2
27%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~20 of 1291
+6 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 8 PM · 37%
Clear
DEN
Denver
#3
26%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~8 of 1007
+5 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 40%
Clear
LAS
Las Vegas
#4
26%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 568
+3 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 9 PM · 42%
Clear
PHX
Phoenix
#5
Departure delays 16 minutes–30 minutes
25%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 653
+2 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 39%
Clear
FLL
Fort Lauderdale
#6
25%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~3 of 312
+2 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 8 PM · 41%
Clear
EWR
Newark
#7
25%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 515
+4 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 38%
Clear
MIA
Miami
#8
25%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 469
+1 pt above normal
25%
Worst hour 8 PM · 35%
Clear
SFO
San Francisco
#9
24%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 603
+2 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 2 PM · 32%
Clear
LAX
Los Angeles
#10
24%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~7 of 759
+2 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 7 PM · 32%
Clear
BWI
Baltimore/Washington
#11
23%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~2 of 291
+2 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 7 PM · 38%
Clear
MCO
Orlando
#12
22%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 538
+2 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 9 PM · 36%
Clear
IAH
Houston Bush
#13
21%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 607
+3 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 7 PM · 30%
Clear
SEA
Seattle–Tacoma
#14
21%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 598
+3 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 8 PM · 26%
Clear
CLT
Charlotte
#15
21%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~7 of 748
+1 pt above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 30%
Clear
JFK
New York JFK
#16
20%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 564
+2 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 9 PM · 28%
Clear
PHL
Philadelphia
#17
20%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 452
+1 pt above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 30%
Clear
BOS
Boston Logan
#18
Delay program, avg 75 min (low ceilings)
20%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 564
+4 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 7 PM · 33%
Clear
DCA
Washington National
#19
20%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~4 of 420
+2 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 32%
Clear
DTW
Detroit
#20
20%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 448
+4 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 8 PM · 31%
Clear
ATL
Atlanta
#21
20%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~8 of 1133
+2 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 30%
Clear
LGA
New York LaGuardia
#22
18%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~6 of 490
+3 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 8 PM · 30%
Clear
SLC
Salt Lake City
#23
17%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~3 of 364
+3 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 7 PM · 31%
Clear
MSP
Minneapolis–St Paul
#24
17%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~3 of 467
+3 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 4 PM · 26%
Clear
IAD
Washington Dulles
#25
15%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~3 of 362
+1 pt above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 24%
Clear
Table view
| # | Airport | FAA status | Late departure | Vs. normal | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DFW Dallas–Fort Worth | Normal operations | 29% | +5 pts | 2% |
| 2 | ORD Chicago O'Hare | Normal operations | 27% | +6 pts | 2% |
| 3 | DEN Denver | Normal operations | 26% | +5 pts | <1% |
| 4 | LAS Las Vegas | Normal operations | 26% | +3 pts | <1% |
| 5 | PHX Phoenix | Departure delays 16 minutes–30 minutes | 25% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 6 | FLL Fort Lauderdale | Normal operations | 25% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 7 | EWR Newark | Normal operations | 25% | +4 pts | <1% |
| 8 | MIA Miami | Normal operations | 25% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 9 | SFO San Francisco | Normal operations | 24% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 10 | LAX Los Angeles | Normal operations | 24% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 11 | BWI Baltimore/Washington | Normal operations | 23% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 12 | MCO Orlando | Normal operations | 22% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 13 | IAH Houston Bush | Normal operations | 21% | +3 pts | <1% |
| 14 | SEA Seattle–Tacoma | Normal operations | 21% | +3 pts | <1% |
| 15 | CLT Charlotte | Normal operations | 21% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 16 | JFK New York JFK | Normal operations | 20% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 17 | PHL Philadelphia | Normal operations | 20% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 18 | BOS Boston Logan | Delay program, avg 75 min (low ceilings) | 20% | +4 pts | <1% |
| 19 | DCA Washington National | Normal operations | 20% | +2 pts | 1% |
| 20 | DTW Detroit | Normal operations | 20% | +4 pts | <1% |
| 21 | ATL Atlanta | Normal operations | 20% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 22 | LGA New York LaGuardia | Normal operations | 18% | +3 pts | 1% |
| 23 | SLC Salt Lake City | Normal operations | 17% | +3 pts | <1% |
| 24 | MSP Minneapolis–St Paul | Normal operations | 17% | +3 pts | <1% |
| 25 | IAD Washington Dulles | Normal operations | 15% | +1 pt | <1% |
“Above normal” (the red part of each bar) is how much worse the late-departure chance is than our estimate for the same flights on a normal day — today that’s the weather forecast; live FAA and airport conditions will join it. Every chart uses the same scale. Airports with too little flight data aren’t shown. Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 11, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.