tailodds FORECAST
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ConfirmedObserved Significant Resolved Weather PHX arrivals and departures

Official observation no longer reports thunderstorm or nearby lightning at Phoenix

Current state
Resolved at 8:42 PM MST
Started
Latest activity
Updates
6
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Confirmed

    Official observation reports thunderstorm at Phoenix

    The 4:42 PM MST official weather observation (METAR) for Phoenix (PHX) reports thunderstorm, ceiling 10000 ft, visibility 10 mi or more, wind 14 kt. Coded weather: “TS”. NOAA’s GOES satellite lightning data, counted by Tailodds, shows 1 flashes within 10 nm of the airport in the 15 minutes to 4:48 PM MST, the nearest 6.3 nm away. Source: NOAA Aviation Weather Center.

    Evidence for this update
    Latest observationSPECI KPHX 302342Z 07014KT 10SM TS SCT065CB BKN100 BKN130 BKN200 22/15 A2983 RMK AO2 RAE2252 TSB42 OCNL LTGCGIC VC SW AND DSNT NW TS VC SW MOV NE CB DSNT E AND NW P0000 T02170150
    StationKPHX at Fri Oct 30, 4:42 PM MST
    Lightning1 flashes within 10 nm, 0 within 5 nm, in the 15 min to 4:48 PM, nearest 6.3 nm
    BasisOfficial observation (METAR)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-30 23:48 UTC)
    SourcesOfficial weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗
    NOAA GOES satellite lightning data, flashes counted by Tailodds (supporting)
    Provenanceweather weather-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    Lightning now within 5 nm of Phoenix: 10 flashes in 15 minutes

    What changed: thunderstorm → lightning within 5 nm

    Tailodds counted 25 lightning flashes within 10 nautical miles of Phoenix (PHX) in the 15 minutes to 5:31 PM MST, 10 of them within 5 nm, the nearest 1.0 nm away, in NOAA’s GOES satellite lightning data. The latest official observation, at 4:51 PM MST, reports light thunderstorm with rain, ceiling 10000 ft, visibility 8 mi, wind 17 kt.

    Evidence for this update
    Latest observationMETAR KPHX 302351Z 07017KT 8SM -TSRA SCT065CB BKN100 BKN130 BKN200 22/15 A2983 RMK AO2 RAE2252B48 TSB42 SLP089 OCNL LTGCGIC SW-W AND DSNT NW TS SW-W MOV NE CB DSNT E AND NW P0000 60000 T02170150 10233 20211 56010
    StationKPHX at Fri Oct 30, 4:51 PM MST
    Lightning25 flashes within 10 nm, 10 within 5 nm, in the 15 min to 5:31 PM, nearest 1.0 nm
    BasisSatellite lightning (GOES GLM)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-31 00:31 UTC)
    SourcesNOAA GOES satellite lightning data, flashes counted by Tailodds
    Provenanceweather weather-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. De-escalation Confirmed

    Official observation now reports light thunderstorm with rain at Phoenix

    What changed: lightning within 5 nm → light thunderstorm with rain

    The 5:51 PM MST official weather observation (METAR) for Phoenix (PHX) reports light thunderstorm with rain, ceiling 6000 ft, visibility 10 mi or more, wind 11 kt. Coded weather: “-TSRA”. NOAA’s GOES satellite lightning data, counted by Tailodds, shows 184 flashes within 10 nm of the airport in the 15 minutes to 6:06 PM MST, the nearest 4.4 nm away. Source: NOAA Aviation Weather Center.

    Evidence for this update
    Latest observationMETAR KPHX 310051Z 33011KT 10SM -TSRA FEW030 BKN060CB BKN080 BKN150 21/16 A2985 RMK AO2 SLP094 CONS LTGCGIC N-NE W-NW AND DSNT N-NE TS N-NE AND W-NW MOV NE CB DSNT N-NE P0001 T02060161
    StationKPHX at Fri Oct 30, 5:51 PM MST
    Lightning184 flashes within 10 nm, 3 within 5 nm, in the 15 min to 6:06 PM, nearest 4.4 nm
    BasisOfficial observation (METAR)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-31 01:06 UTC)
    SourcesOfficial weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗
    NOAA GOES satellite lightning data, flashes counted by Tailodds (supporting)
    Provenanceweather weather-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  4. Escalation Observed

    Lightning now within 5 nm of Phoenix: 11 flashes in 15 minutes

    What changed: light thunderstorm with rain → lightning within 5 nm

    Tailodds counted 16 lightning flashes within 10 nautical miles of Phoenix (PHX) in the 15 minutes to 7:20 PM MST, 11 of them within 5 nm, the nearest 1.8 nm away, in NOAA’s GOES satellite lightning data. The latest official observation, at 6:51 PM MST, reports ceiling 5500 ft, visibility 10 mi or more, wind 8 kt.

    Evidence for this update
    Latest observationMETAR KPHX 310151Z 05008KT 10SM FEW025 BKN055 BKN080 BKN150 20/17 A2987 RMK AO2 RAE37 TSE40 SLP102 OCNL LTGICCG DSNT NE AND W CB DSNT NE AND W P0000 T02000167
    StationKPHX at Fri Oct 30, 6:51 PM MST
    Lightning16 flashes within 10 nm, 11 within 5 nm, in the 15 min to 7:20 PM, nearest 1.8 nm
    BasisSatellite lightning (GOES GLM)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-31 02:20 UTC)
    SourcesNOAA GOES satellite lightning data, flashes counted by Tailodds
    Provenanceweather weather-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  5. De-escalation Confirmed

    Official observation now reports light thunderstorm with rain at Phoenix

    What changed: lightning within 5 nm → light thunderstorm with rain

    The 7:23 PM MST official weather observation (METAR) for Phoenix (PHX) reports light thunderstorm with rain, ceiling 7500 ft, visibility 10 mi or more, wind 9 kt. Coded weather: “-TSRA”. NOAA’s GOES satellite lightning data, counted by Tailodds, shows 44 flashes within 10 nm of the airport in the 15 minutes to 7:55 PM MST, the nearest 4.6 nm away. Source: NOAA Aviation Weather Center.

    Evidence for this update
    Latest observationSPECI KPHX 310223Z 06009KT 10SM -TSRA SCT055CB BKN075 BKN110 BKN150 19/16 A2987 RMK AO2 RAB02 TSB23 OCNL LTGCGIC W-N AND DSNT NE TS W-N MOV NE CB DSNT NE P0000 T01890156
    StationKPHX at Fri Oct 30, 7:23 PM MST
    Lightning44 flashes within 10 nm, 8 within 5 nm, in the 15 min to 7:55 PM, nearest 4.6 nm
    BasisOfficial observation (METAR)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-31 02:55 UTC)
    SourcesOfficial weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗
    NOAA GOES satellite lightning data, flashes counted by Tailodds (supporting)
    Provenanceweather weather-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  6. Resolution Confirmed

    Official observation no longer reports thunderstorm or nearby lightning at Phoenix

    What changed: light thunderstorm with rain → no longer reported

    No official weather observation (METAR) for Phoenix (PHX) in the last 50 minutes reports a thunderstorm; it was last reported at 7:51 PM MST. The latest, at 8:22 PM MST, reports rain, ceiling 6000 ft, visibility 10 mi or more, wind 7 kt. NOAA’s GOES satellite lightning data shows no flash within 10 nm of Phoenix in the 30 minutes to 8:42 PM MST.

    Evidence for this update
    Latest observationSPECI KPHX 310322Z 09007KT 10SM RA SCT049 BKN060 BKN110 BKN200 19/16 A2990 RMK AO2 TSE22 OCNL LTGCGIC DSNT NE CB DSNT NE T01940156 PNO $
    StationKPHX at Fri Oct 30, 8:22 PM MST
    Lightning0 flashes within 10 nm, 0 within 5 nm, in the 15 min to 8:42 PM, nearest 13.9 nm
    BasisOfficial observation (METAR)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-31 03:42 UTC)
    SourcesOfficial weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗
    NOAA GOES satellite lightning data, flashes counted by Tailodds (supporting)
    Provenanceweather weather-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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