Fewer tight aircraft turns at Phoenix: 6 of 17 departures in the next 90 min, still high
- Current state
- Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 5
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
Phoenix: 9 of 32 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn
Of the 51 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 10:48 AM and 12:18 PM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 32. For 9 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 2 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 10:48 AM–12:18 PM MST · 51 departures, aircraft known for 32 Tight turns 9 (28%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 2 not taken off · 6 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest B6 860 to FLL at 10:56 AM: aircraft N984JB, inbound B6 859 from TUS (not departed), -73 min to turn Tightest AA 2869 to PVR at 10:48 AM: aircraft N844NN, inbound AA 2574 from TUS (not departed), -55 min to turn Tightest WN 158 to MSY at 11:01 AM: aircraft N8805L, inbound WN 158 from ABQ (airborne), -19 min to turn Tightest WN 2016 to SJC at 11:19 AM: aircraft N8961K, inbound WN 4307 from SEA (airborne), 7 min to turn Tightest WN 294 to ELP at 11:41 AM: aircraft N7868K, inbound WN 1888 from ELP (airborne), 12 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-30 17:48 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
More tight aircraft turns at Phoenix: 16 of 21 departures in the next 90 min
What changed: tight share 28% → 76%
Of the 44 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 7:04 PM and 8:34 PM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 21. For 16 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 3 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 7:04 PM–8:34 PM MST · 44 departures, aircraft known for 21 Tight turns 16 (76%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 3 not taken off · 11 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest MQ 3947 to MFE at 7:18 PM: aircraft N284JN, inbound MQ 3949 from PSP (not departed), -37 min to turn Tightest MQ 3585 to TUL at 7:36 PM: aircraft N290NN, inbound MQ 4204 from CRQ (not departed), -33 min to turn Tightest WN 3382 to DAL at 7:07 PM: aircraft N8874Q, inbound WN 951 from TUS (not departed), -30 min to turn Tightest MQ 4267 to ABI at 7:16 PM: aircraft N218NN, inbound MQ 3819 from EUG (airborne), -15 min to turn Tightest WN 737 to HOU at 7:41 PM: aircraft N8862Q, inbound WN 2023 from AUS (airborne), -8 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-31 02:04 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Fewer tight aircraft turns at Phoenix: 12 of 18 departures in the next 90 min, still high
What changed: tight share 76% → 67%
Of the 49 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 7:24 PM and 8:54 PM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 18. For 12 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 4 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 7:24 PM–8:54 PM MST · 49 departures, aircraft known for 18 Tight turns 12 (67%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 4 not taken off · 4 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest MQ 3585 to TUL at 7:36 PM: aircraft N290NN, inbound MQ 4204 from CRQ (not departed), -54 min to turn Tightest OO 4968 to SLC at 8:25 PM: aircraft N817SK, inbound OO 6207 from TUS (not departed), -44 min to turn Tightest WN 737 to HOU at 7:41 PM: aircraft N8862Q, inbound WN 2023 from AUS (airborne), -8 min to turn Tightest WN 1639 to MCI at 8:49 PM: aircraft N963WN, inbound WN 1639 from LAS (not departed), 7 min to turn Tightest OO 6332 to BOI at 7:31 PM: aircraft N502SY, inbound OO 4919 from BOI (airborne), 7 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-31 02:24 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
More tight aircraft turns at Phoenix: 18 of 34 departures in the next 90 min
What changed: tight share 67% → 53%
Of the 46 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 8:23 PM and 9:53 PM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 34. For 18 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 8:23 PM–9:53 PM MST · 46 departures, aircraft known for 34 Tight turns 18 (53%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 0 not taken off · 12 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest F9 1820 to DEN at 8:54 PM: aircraft N386FR, inbound F9 4765 from DEN (airborne), -15 min to turn Tightest WN 3011 to GEG at 8:54 PM: aircraft N8928Q, inbound WN 3466 from SJC (airborne), -13 min to turn Tightest OO 4968 to SLC at 8:25 PM: aircraft N817SK, inbound OO 6207 from TUS (airborne), -6 min to turn Tightest MQ 3338 to DEN at 8:41 PM: aircraft N250NN, inbound MQ 3874 from ELP (airborne), -1 min to turn Tightest WN 1639 to MCI at 8:49 PM: aircraft N963WN, inbound WN 1639 from LAS (airborne), 1 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-31 03:23 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Fewer tight aircraft turns at Phoenix: 6 of 17 departures in the next 90 min, still high
What changed: tight share 53% → 35%
Of the 27 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 8:56 PM and 10:26 PM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 17. For 6 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 8:56 PM–10:26 PM MST · 27 departures, aircraft known for 17 Tight turns 6 (35%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 0 not taken off · 3 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest WN 2112 to SMF at 9:11 PM: aircraft N8808Q, inbound WN 2112 from TPA (airborne), -26 min to turn Tightest AA 3237 to BFL at 9:04 PM: aircraft N754UW, inbound AA 3113 from RNO (airborne), -5 min to turn Tightest WN 3420 to HOU at 8:56 PM: aircraft N8981Q, inbound WN 497 from BWI (landed), -1 min to turn Tightest MQ 3765 to EUG at 9:17 PM: aircraft N335JS, inbound MQ 4014 from MRY (landed), 22 min to turn Tightest WN 3481 to SAN at 9:51 PM: aircraft N7844A, inbound WN 3481 from PIT (airborne), 27 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-31 03:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?
Closed Sat Oct 31, 4:58 AM MST: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.