Phoenix arrivals back near normal: 0% late in the last hour
- Current state
- Resolved at 7:15 AM MST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 4
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
Phoenix arrivals running late: 42% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour
Of 33 arrivals that landed between 4:57 PM and 5:57 PM MST, 14 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 4:57 PM–5:57 PM MST Sample 33 flights, 14 late (42%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 6.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-02 00:57 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
Phoenix arrival delays worsen: 65% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 42% → 65%
Of 37 arrivals that landed between 8:35 PM and 9:35 PM MST, 24 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 8:35 PM–9:35 PM MST Sample 37 flights, 24 late (65%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 28.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-02 04:35 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Phoenix arrival delays ease: 55% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 65% → 55%
Of 22 arrivals that landed between 11:05 PM and 12:05 AM MST, 12 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 11:05 PM–12:05 AM MST Sample 22 flights, 12 late (55%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 19.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-02 07:05 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
Phoenix arrivals back near normal: 0% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 85% at worst → 0% now
Of 22 arrivals that landed between 6:15 AM and 7:15 AM MST, 0 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 32 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 6:15 AM–7:15 AM MST Sample 22 flights, 0 late (0%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay -16.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-02 14:15 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?