Phoenix departures back near normal: 0% late in the last hour
- Current state
- Resolved at 6:54 AM MST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 9
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
Phoenix departures running late: 59% left 15+ min late in the last hour
Of 34 departures that took off between 10:00 AM and 11:00 AM MST, 20 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 17% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 10:00 AM–11:00 AM MST Sample 34 flights, 20 late (59%) Comparison 17% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour Median delay 16.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-01 18:01 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
Phoenix departure delays worsen: 62% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 59% → 62%
Of 40 departures that took off between 10:22 AM and 11:22 AM MST, 25 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 17% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 10:22 AM–11:22 AM MST Sample 40 flights, 25 late (62%) Comparison 17% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour Median delay 23.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-01 18:22 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Phoenix departure delays ease: 44% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 62% → 44%
Of 39 departures that took off between 10:42 AM and 11:42 AM MST, 17 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 21% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 10:42 AM–11:42 AM MST Sample 39 flights, 17 late (44%) Comparison 21% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour Median delay 9.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-01 18:42 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
Phoenix departure delays worsen: 77% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 44% → 77%
Of 22 departures that took off between 11:55 AM and 12:55 PM MST, 17 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 22% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 11:55 AM–12:55 PM MST Sample 22 flights, 17 late (77%) Comparison 22% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 PM hour Median delay 37.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-01 19:55 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Phoenix departure delays ease: 55% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 77% → 55%
Of 33 departures that took off between 4:23 PM and 5:23 PM MST, 18 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 30% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 4 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 4:23 PM–5:23 PM MST Sample 33 flights, 18 late (55%) Comparison 30% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 4 PM hour Median delay 23.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-02 00:23 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
Phoenix departure delays worsen: 75% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 55% → 75%
Of 28 departures that took off between 6:38 PM and 7:38 PM MST, 21 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 32% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 6:38 PM–7:38 PM MST Sample 28 flights, 21 late (75%) Comparison 32% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 PM hour Median delay 48.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-02 02:38 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Phoenix departure delays ease: 50% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 75% → 50%
Of 24 departures that took off between 7:06 PM and 8:06 PM MST, 12 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 32% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 7:06 PM–8:06 PM MST Sample 24 flights, 12 late (50%) Comparison 32% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 PM hour Median delay 17.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-02 03:06 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
Phoenix departure delays worsen: 73% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 50% → 73%
Of 33 departures that took off between 8:14 PM and 9:14 PM MST, 24 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 32% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 8:14 PM–9:14 PM MST Sample 33 flights, 24 late (73%) Comparison 32% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 PM hour Median delay 37.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-02 04:14 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
Phoenix departures back near normal: 0% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 100% at worst → 0% now
Of 14 departures that took off between 5:54 AM and 6:54 AM MST, 0 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 5% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 15% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 5:54 AM–6:54 AM MST Sample 14 flights, 0 late (0%) Comparison 5% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour Median delay -3.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-02 13:54 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?