Phoenix arrivals back near normal: 21% late in the last hour
- Current state
- Resolved at 4:43 PM MST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 4
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
Phoenix arrivals running late: 43% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour
Of 23 arrivals that landed between 10:30 AM and 11:30 AM MST, 10 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 10:30 AM–11:30 AM MST Sample 23 flights, 10 late (43%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 7.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-01 18:30 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
Phoenix arrival delays worsen: 66% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 43% → 66%
Of 29 arrivals that landed between 12:12 PM and 1:12 PM MST, 19 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 12:12 PM–1:12 PM MST Sample 29 flights, 19 late (66%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 47.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-01 20:12 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Phoenix arrival delays ease: 53% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 66% → 53%
Of 34 arrivals that landed between 1:21 PM and 2:21 PM MST, 18 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 1:21 PM–2:21 PM MST Sample 34 flights, 18 late (53%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 20.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-01 21:21 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
Phoenix arrivals back near normal: 21% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 74% at worst → 21% now
Of 29 arrivals that landed between 3:43 PM and 4:43 PM MST, 6 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 3:43 PM–4:43 PM MST Sample 29 flights, 6 late (21%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 0.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-01 23:43 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?