Phoenix aircraft turns back near normal: 0 of 13 departures in the next 90 min are tight
- Current state
- Resolved at 5:09 AM MST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 8
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
-
Initial Observed
Phoenix: 9 of 32 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn
Of the 52 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 11:30 AM and 1:00 PM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 32. For 9 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 2 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 11:30 AM–1:00 PM MST · 52 departures, aircraft known for 32 Tight turns 9 (28%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 2 not taken off · 5 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest WN 3413 to DAL at 12:52 PM: aircraft N8976K, inbound WN 3013 from BNA (airborne), -43 min to turn Tightest WN 921 to MDW at 12:17 PM: aircraft N950WN, inbound WN 921 from SNA (not departed), -31 min to turn Tightest WN 433 to DEN at 11:56 AM: aircraft N8639B, inbound WN 433 from LGB (airborne), -18 min to turn Tightest WN 1820 to SJD at 11:55 AM: aircraft N7747C, inbound WN 1911 from ELP (airborne), -14 min to turn Tightest OO 5836 to LAX at 11:57 AM: aircraft N617UX, inbound OO 5654 from LAX (not departed), -10 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-01 18:30 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
More tight aircraft turns at Phoenix: 19 of 36 departures in the next 90 min
What changed: tight share 28% → 53%
Of the 54 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 12:58 PM and 2:28 PM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 36. For 19 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 4 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 12:58 PM–2:28 PM MST · 54 departures, aircraft known for 36 Tight turns 19 (53%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 4 not taken off · 12 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest OO 4944 to PSC at 1:14 PM: aircraft N805SK, inbound OO 4986 from NYL (not departed), -62 min to turn Tightest WN 4604 to IND at 1:42 PM: aircraft N9018H, inbound WN 2903 from SAT (airborne), -59 min to turn Tightest WN 2787 to CLE at 1:47 PM: aircraft N8874Q, inbound WN 4079 from SNA (not departed), -40 min to turn Tightest WN 3511 to SLC at 1:02 PM: aircraft N8527Q, inbound WN 267 from LAS (airborne), -24 min to turn Tightest WN 1243 to OAK at 1:19 PM: aircraft N9007K, inbound WN 2388 from LAX (airborne), -8 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-01 19:58 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Fewer tight aircraft turns at Phoenix: 14 of 42 departures in the next 90 min, still high
What changed: tight share 53% → 33%
Of the 57 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 2:21 PM and 3:51 PM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 42. For 14 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 3 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 2:21 PM–3:51 PM MST · 57 departures, aircraft known for 42 Tight turns 14 (33%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 3 not taken off · 9 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest WN 506 to ELP at 2:50 PM: aircraft N965WN, inbound WN 506 from SMF (airborne), -15 min to turn Tightest WN 156 to LAS at 3:27 PM: aircraft N913WN, inbound WN 3828 from LAS (not departed), 1 min to turn Tightest WN 3464 to MKE at 3:07 PM: aircraft N8836Q, inbound WN 8503 from SFO (airborne), 1 min to turn Tightest WN 1153 to DEN at 2:24 PM: aircraft N8649A, inbound WN 4452 from SAN (airborne), 2 min to turn Tightest WN 2696 to STL at 3:07 PM: aircraft N8692F, inbound WN 4623 from SFO (airborne), 5 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-01 21:21 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
More tight aircraft turns at Phoenix: 15 of 36 departures in the next 90 min
What changed: tight share 33% → 42%
Of the 47 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 2:50 PM and 4:20 PM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 36. For 15 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 2:50 PM–4:20 PM MST · 47 departures, aircraft known for 36 Tight turns 15 (42%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 0 not taken off · 12 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest AA 1426 to RNO at 2:54 PM: aircraft N750UW, inbound AA 2824 from ELP (airborne), -34 min to turn Tightest OO 6453 to FAT at 2:50 PM: aircraft N727SK, inbound OO 4911 from FLG (airborne), -31 min to turn Tightest WN 506 to ELP at 2:50 PM: aircraft N965WN, inbound WN 506 from SMF (airborne), -13 min to turn Tightest WN 3464 to MKE at 3:07 PM: aircraft N8836Q, inbound WN 8503 from SFO (airborne), -2 min to turn Tightest WN 156 to LAS at 3:27 PM: aircraft N913WN, inbound WN 3828 from LAS (airborne), 2 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-01 21:50 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Fewer tight aircraft turns at Phoenix: 12 of 33 departures in the next 90 min, still high
What changed: tight share 42% → 36%
Of the 42 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 3:11 PM and 4:41 PM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 33. For 12 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 3:11 PM–4:41 PM MST · 42 departures, aircraft known for 33 Tight turns 12 (36%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 0 not taken off · 8 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest AA 450 to JFK at 3:12 PM: aircraft N132AN, inbound AA 636 from MIA (airborne), -6 min to turn Tightest WN 156 to LAS at 3:27 PM: aircraft N913WN, inbound WN 3828 from LAS (airborne), 2 min to turn Tightest MQ 4218 to SEA at 3:42 PM: aircraft N338AS, inbound MQ 4080 from NYL (airborne), 3 min to turn Tightest WN 4165 to OMA at 3:42 PM: aircraft N8610A, inbound WN 2663 from ABQ (airborne), 13 min to turn Tightest MQ 3907 to BOI at 3:38 PM: aircraft N226NN, inbound MQ 4225 from CRQ (airborne), 14 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-01 22:11 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
More tight aircraft turns at Phoenix: 19 of 36 departures in the next 90 min
What changed: tight share 36% → 53%
Of the 47 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 9:37 PM and 11:07 PM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 36. For 19 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 5 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 9:37 PM–11:07 PM MST · 47 departures, aircraft known for 36 Tight turns 19 (53%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 5 not taken off · 9 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest OO 6436 to TUS at 9:46 PM: aircraft N514SY, inbound OO 6513 from PSP (not departed), -42 min to turn Tightest WN 4759 to PDX at 10:16 PM: aircraft N8610A, inbound WN 4699 from OMA (airborne), -27 min to turn Tightest WN 2323 to TUS at 10:50 PM: aircraft N8978G, inbound WN 2323 from SNA (not departed), -21 min to turn Tightest AA 2733 to BOI at 9:41 PM: aircraft N122US, inbound AA 3065 from SBP (airborne), -19 min to turn Tightest WN 3830 to LAX at 10:49 PM: aircraft N7748A, inbound WN 3728 from SAN (not departed), -16 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-02 04:37 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Fewer tight aircraft turns at Phoenix: 13 of 31 departures in the next 90 min, still high
What changed: tight share 53% → 42%
Of the 39 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 10:03 PM and 11:33 PM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 31. For 13 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 2 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 10:03 PM–11:33 PM MST · 39 departures, aircraft known for 31 Tight turns 13 (42%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 2 not taken off · 10 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest WN 4759 to PDX at 10:16 PM: aircraft N8610A, inbound WN 4699 from OMA (airborne), -27 min to turn Tightest WN 2323 to TUS at 10:50 PM: aircraft N8978G, inbound WN 2323 from SNA (not departed), -21 min to turn Tightest WN 3830 to LAX at 10:49 PM: aircraft N7748A, inbound WN 3728 from SAN (not departed), -16 min to turn Tightest WN 2608 to DEN at 10:37 PM: aircraft N8920Q, inbound WN 224 from BUR (airborne), -5 min to turn Tightest WN 4228 to RNO at 10:19 PM: aircraft N8667D, inbound WN 1501 from LAX (airborne), -3 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-02 05:03 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
Phoenix aircraft turns back near normal: 0 of 13 departures in the next 90 min are tight
What changed: tight share 64% at worst → 0% now
Of the 17 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 5:08 AM and 6:38 AM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 13. For 0 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 32 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 5:08 AM–6:38 AM MST · 17 departures, aircraft known for 13 Tight turns 0 (0%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 0 not taken off · 0 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-02 12:09 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?