Model lowers Love Field departure delay risk 9 AM–noon Monday to 27%, near normal
- Current state
- Resolved at 5:58 AM CST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 2
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
-
Initial Forecast
Model forecasts 44% delay risk for Love Field departures 9 AM–noon Monday
Tailodds’ model gives the 64 departures scheduled from Love Field 9 AM–noon Monday an average 44% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 17%. From the 2:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-02 (15+ min late) Probability (calibrated, mean per flight) 44% over 64 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Mon Nov 2, 2:00 AM CST · 6.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-02 08:58 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Resolution Forecast
Model lowers Love Field departure delay risk 9 AM–noon Monday to 27%, near normal
What changed: 44% → 27%; calm-weather level 18%
Tailodds’ model gives the 66 departures scheduled from Love Field 9 AM–noon Monday an average 27% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 18%. From the 5:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-02 (15+ min late) Probability (calibrated, mean per flight) 27% over 66 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Mon Nov 2, 5:00 AM CST · 3.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-02 11:58 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?