tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 222 h staleForecast cycle 74 minLightning 222 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 5 minFAA flight data 6 min

FAA NAS status is stale (222 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (222 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Significant Resolved Delay MIA arrivals

Miami arrivals back near normal: 17% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved at 1:56 PM EST
Started
Latest activity
Updates
2
Create monitor View MIAFlights at MIA

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Miami arrivals running late: 47% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 30 arrivals that landed between 10:59 AM and 11:59 AM EST, 14 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at Miami arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window10:59 AM–11:59 AM EST
    Sample30 flights, 14 late (47%)
    Comparison22% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay14.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-04 16:59 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Recovery Observed

    Miami arrivals back near normal: 17% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 60% at worst → 17% now

    Of 18 arrivals that landed between 12:56 PM and 1:56 PM EST, 3 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at Miami arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window12:56 PM–1:56 PM EST
    Sample18 flights, 3 late (17%)
    Comparison22% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay-1.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-04 18:56 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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