tailodds FORECAST
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Observed Significant Resolved Inbound aircraft DCA departures

National: 9 of 28 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
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  1. Initial Observed

    National: 9 of 28 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn

    Of the 42 departures scheduled from National (DCA) between 2:27 PM and 3:57 PM EST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 28. For 9 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into DCA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.

    Evidence for this update
    Departures scheduled2:27 PM–3:57 PM EST · 42 departures, aircraft known for 28
    Tight turns9 (32%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure
    Inbound not yet in0 not taken off · 7 in the air
    MethodSFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    TightestWN 3345 to TPA at 2:47 PM: aircraft N227WN, inbound WN 3483 from CMH (airborne), -1 min to turn
    TightestG7 4560 to EWR at 3:11 PM: aircraft N545GJ, inbound G7 4499 from EWR (airborne), 11 min to turn
    TightestOH 5546 to ROC at 2:43 PM: aircraft N719PS, inbound OH 5127 from MSP (airborne), 12 min to turn
    TightestWN 1185 to MDW at 2:38 PM: aircraft N435WN, inbound WN 2112 from MDW (landed), 13 min to turn
    TightestMQ 4053 to RSW at 3:03 PM: aircraft N328DS, inbound MQ 3991 from CLE (airborne), 20 min to turn
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-05 19:27 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules
    Provenanceinbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Fri Nov 6, 4:09 AM EST: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.