tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 1 minFAA NAS status <1 minForecast cycle 2 hLightning 1 minWeather observations 5 minFAA surface data 3 minFAA flight data 3 min
Forecast Major Resolved Cancellation PHX departures

Model expects about 8 cancellations among Phoenix departures 9 PM–midnight Friday

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.)
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Create monitor View PHXFlights at PHX

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 8 cancellations among Phoenix departures 9 PM–midnight Friday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 45 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Friday to be cancelled (17%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 7:00 PM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetPHX departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-13 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~7.7 over 45 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonFri Nov 13, 7:00 PM MST · 1.0 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 02:57 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Fri Nov 13, 9:00 PM MST: The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.