tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 3 minFAA NAS status 2 minForecast cycle 87 minLightning 1 minWeather observations 3 minFAA surface data 6 minFAA flight data 7 min
Forecast Major New Cancellation RDU departures

Model expects about 14 cancellations among Raleigh/Durham departures 3–6 PM Saturday

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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 14 cancellations among Raleigh/Durham departures 3–6 PM Saturday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 14 of the 38 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Saturday to be cancelled (37%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetRDU departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~14.2 over 38 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSat Nov 14, 6:00 AM EST · 8.0 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 11:57 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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