Updated model now expects about 7 among Nashville departures 6–9 PM Saturday
- Current state
- Developing
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 2
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
-
Initial Forecast
Model expects about 6 cancellations among Nashville departures 6–9 PM Saturday
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 21 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Saturday to be cancelled (27%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 AM CST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target BNA departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~5.7 over 21 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 6:00 AM CST · 10.6 h ahead Model version famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 13:26 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Forecast
Updated model now expects about 7 among Nashville departures 6–9 PM Saturday
What changed: about 6 → 7 expected cancellations since the 6:00 AM CST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 21 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Saturday to be cancelled (33%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 7:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target BNA departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~6.9 over 21 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 7:00 AM CST · 9.6 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i (changed since the previous update) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 14:26 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?