Model lowers expected cancellations among Love Field departures 6–9 AM Sunday to about 3
- Current state
- Resolved at 4:55 AM CST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Forecast
Model expects about 8 cancellations among Love Field departures 6–9 AM Sunday
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 37 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Sunday to be cancelled (22%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 PM CST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-15 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~8.3 over 37 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 6:00 PM CST · 10.5 h ahead Model version famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 01:27 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Forecast
Updated model now expects about 7 among Love Field departures 6–9 AM Sunday
What changed: about 8 → 7 expected cancellations since the 6:00 PM CST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 37 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Sunday to be cancelled (18%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 9:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-15 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~6.6 over 37 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 9:00 PM CST · 8.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i (changed since the previous update) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 03:57 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations to about 5 among Love Field departures 6–9 AM Sunday
What changed: about 7 → 5 expected cancellations since the 9:00 PM CST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 37 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Sunday to be cancelled (14%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 10:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-15 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~5.1 over 37 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 10:00 PM CST · 7.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 04:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations to about 3 among Love Field departures 6–9 AM Sunday
What changed: about 5 → 3 expected cancellations since the 10:00 PM CST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 37 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Sunday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 3:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-15 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~3.4 over 37 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sun Nov 15, 3:00 AM CST · 2.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 09:58 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Resolution Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations among Love Field departures 6–9 AM Sunday to about 3
What changed: about 3 → 3
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 37 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Sunday to be cancelled (7%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 4:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-15 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~2.5 over 37 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sun Nov 15, 4:00 AM CST · 1.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 10:55 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?