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Observed Significant Developing Delay MSP departures

Minneapolis departure delays ease: 43% late in the last hour, still above normal

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Developing
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Minneapolis departures running late: 47% left 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 15 departures that took off between 7:40 AM and 8:40 AM CST, 7 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 13% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window7:40 AM–8:40 AM CST
    Sample15 flights, 7 late (47%)
    Comparison13% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 AM hour
    Median delay13.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-15 14:40 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    Minneapolis departure delays worsen: 67% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 47% → 67%

    Of 15 departures that took off between 8:16 AM and 9:16 AM CST, 10 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 13% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window8:16 AM–9:16 AM CST
    Sample15 flights, 10 late (67%)
    Comparison13% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 AM hour
    Median delay19.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-15 15:16 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. De-escalation Observed

    Minneapolis departure delays ease: 42% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 67% → 42%

    Of 24 departures that took off between 8:37 AM and 9:37 AM CST, 10 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 13% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window8:37 AM–9:37 AM CST
    Sample24 flights, 10 late (42%)
    Comparison13% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour
    Median delay7.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-15 15:37 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  4. Escalation Observed

    Minneapolis departure delays worsen: 75% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 42% → 75%

    Of 16 departures that took off between 11:10 AM and 12:10 PM CST, 12 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 18% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window11:10 AM–12:10 PM CST
    Sample16 flights, 12 late (75%)
    Comparison18% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour
    Median delay37.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-15 18:10 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  5. De-escalation Observed

    Minneapolis departure delays ease: 43% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 75% → 43%

    Of 21 departures that took off between 12:15 PM and 1:15 PM CST, 9 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 17% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window12:15 PM–1:15 PM CST
    Sample21 flights, 9 late (43%)
    Comparison17% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 PM hour
    Median delay5.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-15 19:15 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?