tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 2 minFAA NAS status <1 minForecast cycle 1 hLightning <1 minWeather observations 2 minFAA surface data 5 minFAA flight data 4 min
Forecast Significant New Cancellation MSP departures

Model expects about 6 cancellations among Minneapolis departures 3–6 PM Sunday

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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 6 cancellations among Minneapolis departures 3–6 PM Sunday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 76 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Sunday to be cancelled (8%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 8:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetMSP departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-15 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~5.7 over 76 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSun Nov 15, 8:00 AM CST · 6.1 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-15 14:56 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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