tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 2 minFAA NAS status 2 minForecast cycle 1 hLightning 2 minWeather observations 1 minFAA surface data 5 minFAA flight data 6 min
Forecast Major Resolved Cancellation TPA departures

Model expects about 5 cancellations among Tampa departures 3–6 PM Sunday

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
1
Create monitor View TPAFlights at TPA

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 5 cancellations among Tampa departures 3–6 PM Sunday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 51 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Sunday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 1:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetTPA departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-15 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~5.4 over 51 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSun Nov 15, 1:00 PM EST · 0.6 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-15 19:26 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?

Closed Sun Nov 15, 3:00 PM EST: The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.