tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 3 minFAA NAS status 2 minForecast cycle 2 hLightning 2 minWeather observations 2 minFAA surface data 7 minFAA flight data 6 min
Forecast Significant New Cancellation TPA departures

Model expects about 5 cancellations among Tampa departures 6–9 PM Sunday

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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 5 cancellations among Tampa departures 6–9 PM Sunday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 53 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Sunday to be cancelled (10%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 1:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetTPA departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-15 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~5.2 over 53 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSun Nov 15, 1:00 PM EST · 3.6 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-15 19:26 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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