National arrivals back near normal: 9% late in the last hour
- Current state
- Resolved at 7:10 PM EDT
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 2
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
National arrivals running late: 50% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour
Of 18 arrivals that landed between 5:12 PM and 6:12 PM EDT, 9 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 28% of arrivals at National arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 5:12 PM–6:12 PM EDT Sample 18 flights, 9 late (50%) Comparison 28% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 17.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-22 22:12 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
National arrivals back near normal: 9% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 53% at worst → 9% now
Of 22 arrivals that landed between 6:10 PM and 7:10 PM EDT, 2 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 28% of arrivals at National arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 6:10 PM–7:10 PM EDT Sample 22 flights, 2 late (9%) Comparison 28% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay -11.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-22 23:10 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?