tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 224 h staleForecast cycle 89 minLightning 224 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 4 minFAA flight data 4 min

FAA NAS status is stale (224 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (224 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Significant Resolved Inbound aircraft DCA departures

National: 9 of 26 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
1
Create monitor View DCAFlights at DCA

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    National: 9 of 26 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn

    Of the 45 departures scheduled from National (DCA) between 6:43 PM and 8:13 PM EDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 26. For 9 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into DCA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 1 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.

    Evidence for this update
    Departures scheduled6:43 PM–8:13 PM EDT · 45 departures, aircraft known for 26
    Tight turns9 (35%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure
    Inbound not yet in1 not taken off · 6 in the air
    MethodSFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    TightestOH 5452 to RDU at 7:00 PM: aircraft N528EG, inbound OH 5296 from CHO (not departed), -84 min to turn
    TightestYX 4536 to STL at 6:51 PM: aircraft N438YX, inbound YX 4633 from CMH (airborne), -38 min to turn
    TightestWN 398 to STL at 6:50 PM: aircraft N8701Q, inbound WN 2031 from HOU (airborne), -21 min to turn
    TightestMQ 3452 to XNA at 7:23 PM: aircraft N318JE, inbound MQ 4096 from CLE (airborne), -7 min to turn
    TightestOH 5044 to GSP at 7:17 PM: aircraft N530EA, inbound JIA5208 from GSP (airborne), 3 min to turn
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-22 22:43 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules
    Provenanceinbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Fri Oct 23, 4:15 AM EDT: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.