Tailodds’ model gives the 49 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 3–6 PM Saturday an average 61% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 29%. From the 5:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Model raises Fort Lauderdale departure delay risk noon–3 PM Saturday to 61%
▲ 37% → 61% since the 3:00 AM EST forecast (same model, same window)Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 62 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale noon–3 PM Saturday an average 61% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 25%. From the 5:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Model forecasts 53% delay risk for Fort Lauderdale departures 9 AM–noon Saturday
53% riskTailodds’ model gives the 80 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 9 AM–noon Saturday an average 53% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 20%. From the 5:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Model lowers Fort Lauderdale departure delay risk 9 AM–noon Saturday to 32%, near normal
52% → 32%; calm-weather level 20%Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 80 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 9 AM–noon Saturday an average 32% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 20%. From the 3:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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FAA no longer lists departure delays at Fort Lauderdale
departure delays no longer listedLoading earlier updates…
FAA-reported departure delays at Fort Lauderdale (FLL) no longer appear in the FAA’s airport status as of 5:15 PM EST, in 3 consecutive successful checks. It was first listed at 5:09 PM EST.
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FAA no longer lists departure delays at Fort Lauderdale
departure delays no longer listedLoading earlier updates…
FAA-reported departure delays at Fort Lauderdale (FLL) no longer appear in the FAA’s airport status as of 5:00 PM EST, in 3 consecutive successful checks. It was first listed at 4:39 PM EST.
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Model raises Fort Lauderdale departure delay risk 6–9 PM Friday to 92%
▲ 64% → 92% since the 12:00 PM EST forecast (same model, same window)Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 76 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 6–9 PM Friday an average 92% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 39%. From the 4:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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FAA no longer lists departure delays at Fort Lauderdale
departure delays no longer listedLoading earlier updates…
FAA-reported departure delays at Fort Lauderdale (FLL) no longer appear in the FAA’s airport status as of 3:52 PM EST, in 4 consecutive successful checks. It was first listed at 9:08 PM EST.
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Updated model puts Fort Lauderdale departure delay risk 3–6 PM Friday at 59%
▲ 45% → 59% since the 4:00 AM EST forecast (model changed)Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 56 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 3–6 PM Friday an average 59% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 29%. From the 12:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Fort Lauderdale departures running late: 46% left 15+ min late in the last hour
46% lateOf 24 departures that took off between 10:26 AM and 11:26 AM EST, 11 left at least 15 minutes late. Fort Lauderdale typically sees 21% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
1 update · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
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Model forecasts 44% delay risk for Fort Lauderdale departures noon–3 PM Friday
44% riskTailodds’ model gives the 63 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale noon–3 PM Friday an average 44% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 24%. From the 4:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Model forecasts 40% delay risk for Fort Lauderdale departures 9 AM–noon Friday
40% riskTailodds’ model gives the 73 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 9 AM–noon Friday an average 40% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 20%. From the 4:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Fort Lauderdale arrival delays ease: 46% late in the last hour, still above normal
▼ late share 64% → 46%Loading earlier updates…
Of 13 arrivals that landed between 10:33 PM and 11:33 PM EST, 6 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 27% of arrivals at Fort Lauderdale arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
5 updates · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
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Fort Lauderdale departure delays ease: 45% late in the last hour, still above normal
▼ late share 78% → 45%Loading earlier updates…
Of 20 departures that took off between 8:37 PM and 9:37 PM EST, 9 left at least 15 minutes late. Fort Lauderdale typically sees 52% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
7 updates · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
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Model forecasts 68% delay risk for Fort Lauderdale departures 9 PM–midnight Thursday
68% riskTailodds’ model gives the 15 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 9 PM–midnight Thursday an average 68% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 44%. From the 7:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Model raises Fort Lauderdale departure delay risk 6–9 PM Thursday to 67%
▲ 67% → 67% since the 2:00 PM EST forecast (same model, same window)Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 75 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 6–9 PM Thursday an average 67% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 42%. From the 4:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Model lowers Fort Lauderdale departure delay risk 3–6 PM Thursday to 56%
▼ 57% → 56% since the 12:00 PM EST forecast (same model, same window)Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 56 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 3–6 PM Thursday an average 56% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 31%. From the 1:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Fort Lauderdale arrivals back near normal: 24% late in the last hour
late share 65% at worst → 24% nowLoading earlier updates…
Of 17 arrivals that landed between 12:53 PM and 1:53 PM EST, 4 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 27% of arrivals at Fort Lauderdale arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
2 updates · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
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Model forecasts 43% delay risk for Fort Lauderdale departures noon–3 PM Thursday
43% riskTailodds’ model gives the 65 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale noon–3 PM Thursday an average 43% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 26%. From the 10:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Fort Lauderdale departures back near normal: 18% late in the last hour
late share 75% at worst → 18% nowLoading earlier updates…
Of 22 departures that took off between 6:29 PM and 7:29 PM EST, 4 left at least 15 minutes late. Fort Lauderdale typically sees 40% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
2 updates · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
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Fort Lauderdale arrivals running late: 52% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour
52% lateOf 21 arrivals that landed between 11:15 PM and 12:15 AM EST, 11 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 27% of arrivals at Fort Lauderdale arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
1 update · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
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Fort Lauderdale arrival delays worsen: 77% late in the last hour
▲ late share 53% → 77%Loading earlier updates…
Of 13 arrivals that landed between 11:56 PM and 12:56 AM EST, 10 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 27% of arrivals at Fort Lauderdale arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
2 updates · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
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Fort Lauderdale departures running late: 55% left 15+ min late in the last hour
55% lateOf 29 departures that took off between 12:30 PM and 1:30 PM EST, 16 left at least 15 minutes late. Fort Lauderdale typically sees 33% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
1 update · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
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Model lowers Fort Lauderdale departure delay risk 6–9 PM Saturday to 46%, near normal
57% → 46%; calm-weather level 43%Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 65 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 6–9 PM Saturday an average 46% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 43%. From the 5:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Fort Lauderdale departures back near normal: 23% late in the last hour
late share 67% at worst → 23% nowLoading earlier updates…
Of 13 departures that took off between 4:01 PM and 5:01 PM EST, 3 left at least 15 minutes late. Fort Lauderdale typically sees 40% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 4 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
2 updates · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
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- An official source (the FAA) reports it. We attribute it; we don’t independently verify it.
- Observed
- We measured it from FAA flight data: window, sample size and the typical level are on the item.
- Forecast
- Our model predicts it, with its probability, target, horizon and model version. It has not happened. How accurate is it?