Wire

Sourced developments at US airports: what the FAA reports at every airport, and what we measure and our model forecasts at the busiest ones.

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WIRE 25 EVENTS 1 MAJOR 1 DEVELOPING 23 RESOLVED

14:26 IND DEP DELAY DEVELOPING

Model raises Indianapolis departure delay risk 6–9 PM Sunday to 69%

▲ 55% → 69% since the 11:00 AM EST forecast (same model, same window)

14:26 IND DEP DELAY RESOLVED

Model raises Indianapolis departure delay risk 3–6 PM Sunday to 60%

▲ 47% → 60% since the 5:00 AM EST forecast (same model, same window)

07:56 IND DEP DELAY NEW

Indianapolis departures running late: 46% left 15+ min late in the last hour

46% late

02:26 IND DEP DELAY RESOLVED

Model forecasts 42% delay risk for Indianapolis departures noon–3 PM Sunday

42% risk

23:56Nov 14 IND DEP DELAY RESOLVED

Model forecasts 40% delay risk for Indianapolis departures 9 AM–noon Sunday

40% risk

14:22Nov 14 IND DEP DELAY RESOLVED

Model raises Indianapolis departure delay risk 3–6 PM Saturday to 68%

▲ 44% → 68% since the 6:00 AM EST forecast (same model, same window)

08:26Nov 14 IND DEP DELAY RESOLVED

Model raises Indianapolis departure delay risk noon–3 PM Saturday to 60%

▲ 55% → 60% since the 6:00 AM EST forecast (same model, same window)

07:10Nov 14 IND DEP DELAY RESOLVED

Model forecasts 41% delay risk for Indianapolis departures 9 AM–noon Saturday

41% risk

16:56Nov 13 IND DEP DELAY RESOLVED

Model raises Indianapolis departure delay risk 6–9 PM Friday to 84%

▲ 49% → 84% since the 2:00 PM EST forecast (same model, same window)

00:48Nov 13 IND ARR DELAY RESOLVED

Indianapolis arrivals running late: 71% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

71% late

15:25Nov 12 IND DEP DELAY RESOLVED

Model forecasts 47% delay risk for Indianapolis departures 6–9 PM Thursday

47% risk

13:55Nov 12 IND DEP DELAY RESOLVED

Model forecasts 41% delay risk for Indianapolis departures 3–6 PM Thursday

41% risk

19:35Nov 11 IND DEP DELAY RESOLVED

Indianapolis departure delays worsen: 83% late in the last hour

▲ late share 50% → 83%

16:57Nov 9 IND DEP DELAY RESOLVED

Model forecasts 42% delay risk for Indianapolis departures 6–9 PM Monday

42% risk

07:59Nov 8 IND DEP DELAY RESOLVED

Indianapolis departures running late: 50% left 15+ min late in the last hour

50% late

00:04Nov 7 IND ARR DELAY RESOLVED

Indianapolis arrivals running late: 46% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

46% late

11:56Nov 6 IND DEP DELAY RESOLVED

Model forecasts 42% delay risk for Indianapolis departures noon–3 PM Friday

42% risk

06:56Nov 6 IND DEP DELAY RESOLVED

Model lowers Indianapolis departure delay risk noon–3 PM Friday to 32%, near normal

43% → 32%; calm-weather level 20%

04:57Nov 6 IND DEP DELAY RESOLVED

Model forecasts 43% delay risk for Indianapolis departures 3–6 PM Friday

43% risk

08:58Nov 2 IND DEP DELAY RESOLVED

Model lowers Indianapolis departure delay risk 3–6 PM Monday to 31%, near normal

42% → 31%; calm-weather level 20%

06:58Nov 2 IND DEP DELAY RESOLVED

Model lowers Indianapolis departure delay risk noon–3 PM Monday to 28%, near normal

44% → 28%; calm-weather level 18%

00:09Nov 2 IND ARR DELAY RESOLVED

Indianapolis arrivals running late: 71% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

71% late

00:26Oct 26 IND ARR DELAY RESOLVED

Indianapolis arrivals running late: 46% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

46% late

21:13Oct 23 IND DEP DELAY RESOLVED

Indianapolis departures running late: 58% left 15+ min late in the last hour

58% late

14:56Oct 23 IND DEP DELAY RESOLVED

Model forecasts 44% delay risk for Indianapolis departures 6–9 PM Friday

44% risk

Older items One row per event, newest activity first; + opens every update on the event. Times are EST.

Confirmed: An official source (the FAA) reports it. We attribute it; we don’t independently verify it.
Observed: We measured it from FAA flight data: window, sample size and the typical level are on the item.
Forecast: Our model predicts it, with its probability, target, horizon and model version. It has not happened. How accurate is it?

Wire

Your alerts

Model raises Indianapolis departure delay risk 6–9 PM Sunday to 69%

Model raises Indianapolis departure delay risk 3–6 PM Sunday to 60%

Indianapolis departures running late: 46% left 15+ min late in the last hour

Model forecasts 42% delay risk for Indianapolis departures noon–3 PM Sunday

Model forecasts 40% delay risk for Indianapolis departures 9 AM–noon Sunday

Model raises Indianapolis departure delay risk 3–6 PM Saturday to 68%

Model raises Indianapolis departure delay risk noon–3 PM Saturday to 60%

Model forecasts 41% delay risk for Indianapolis departures 9 AM–noon Saturday

Model raises Indianapolis departure delay risk 6–9 PM Friday to 84%

Indianapolis arrivals running late: 71% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

Model forecasts 47% delay risk for Indianapolis departures 6–9 PM Thursday

Model forecasts 41% delay risk for Indianapolis departures 3–6 PM Thursday

Indianapolis departure delays worsen: 83% late in the last hour

Model forecasts 42% delay risk for Indianapolis departures 6–9 PM Monday

Indianapolis departures running late: 50% left 15+ min late in the last hour

Indianapolis arrivals running late: 46% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

Model forecasts 42% delay risk for Indianapolis departures noon–3 PM Friday

Model lowers Indianapolis departure delay risk noon–3 PM Friday to 32%, near normal

Model forecasts 43% delay risk for Indianapolis departures 3–6 PM Friday

Model lowers Indianapolis departure delay risk 3–6 PM Monday to 31%, near normal

Model lowers Indianapolis departure delay risk noon–3 PM Monday to 28%, near normal

Indianapolis arrivals running late: 71% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

Indianapolis arrivals running late: 46% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

Indianapolis departures running late: 58% left 15+ min late in the last hour

Model forecasts 44% delay risk for Indianapolis departures 6–9 PM Friday

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