Phoenix departures back near normal: 30% late in the last hour
- Current state
- Resolved at 2:22 PM MST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 2
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
Phoenix departures running late: 47% left 15+ min late in the last hour
Of 30 departures that took off between 11:49 AM and 12:49 PM MST, 14 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 22% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 11:49 AM–12:49 PM MST Sample 30 flights, 14 late (47%) Comparison 22% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 PM hour Median delay 9.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-17 19:49 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
Phoenix departures back near normal: 30% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 50% at worst → 30% now
Of 27 departures that took off between 1:22 PM and 2:22 PM MST, 8 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 24% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 1:22 PM–2:22 PM MST Sample 27 flights, 8 late (30%) Comparison 24% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour Median delay 4.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-17 21:22 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?