tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 224 h staleForecast cycle 1 hLightning 224 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 4 minFAA flight data 4 min

FAA NAS status is stale (224 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (224 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Significant Resolved Inbound aircraft PHX departures

Phoenix: 12 of 42 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
1
Create monitor View PHXFlights at PHX

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Phoenix: 12 of 42 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn

    Of the 58 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 3:05 PM and 4:35 PM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 42. For 12 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 2 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.

    Evidence for this update
    Departures scheduled3:05 PM–4:35 PM MST · 58 departures, aircraft known for 42
    Tight turns12 (29%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure
    Inbound not yet in2 not taken off · 8 in the air
    MethodSFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    TightestOO 3310 to SAN at 3:45 PM: aircraft N199SY, inbound OO 3309 from SAN (not departed), -23 min to turn
    TightestWN 4949 to MCI at 4:29 PM: aircraft N8915Q, inbound WN 2373 from LAS (not departed), -12 min to turn
    TightestAA 1548 to DFW at 3:19 PM: aircraft N560UW, inbound AA 1507 from DFW (airborne), 1 min to turn
    TightestWN 4436 to HOU at 3:29 PM: aircraft N8659D, inbound WN 1849 from SEA (airborne), 4 min to turn
    TightestWN 9000 to TUL at 3:06 PM: aircraft N295WN, inbound WN 897 from BUR (landed), 7 min to turn
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-17 22:05 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules
    Provenanceinbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Sun Oct 18, 1:10 AM MST: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.