tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 1 minFAA NAS status 1 minForecast cycle 2 hLightning 2 minWeather observations 2 minFAA surface data 5 minFAA flight data 5 min
ConfirmedObserved Significant Resolved Weather PHX arrivals and departures

Official observation no longer reports thunderstorm or nearby lightning at Phoenix

Current state
Resolved at 2:50 PM MST
Started
Latest activity
Updates
4
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Lightning within 10 nm of Phoenix: 6 flashes in 15 minutes

    Tailodds counted 6 lightning flashes within 10 nautical miles of Phoenix (PHX) in the 15 minutes to 1:26 PM MST, 0 of them within 5 nm, the nearest 5.4 nm away, in NOAA’s GOES satellite lightning data. The latest official observation, at 12:51 PM MST, reports ceiling 19000 ft, visibility 10 mi or more, wind 10 kt.

    Evidence for this update
    Latest observationMETAR KPHX 301951Z 09010KT 10SM FEW045 SCT100 BKN190 BKN250 23/16 A2987 RMK AO2 SLP100 T02280161 $
    StationKPHX at Fri Oct 30, 12:51 PM MST
    Lightning6 flashes within 10 nm, 0 within 5 nm, in the 15 min to 1:26 PM, nearest 5.4 nm
    BasisSatellite lightning (GOES GLM)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-30 20:26 UTC)
    SourcesNOAA GOES satellite lightning data, flashes counted by Tailodds
    Provenanceweather weather-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    Lightning now within 5 nm of Phoenix: 10 flashes in 15 minutes

    What changed: lightning within 10 nm → lightning within 5 nm

    Tailodds counted 28 lightning flashes within 10 nautical miles of Phoenix (PHX) in the 15 minutes to 1:51 PM MST, 10 of them within 5 nm, the nearest 2.9 nm away, in NOAA’s GOES satellite lightning data. The latest official observation, at 1:42 PM MST, reports thunderstorm, ceiling 8000 ft, visibility 10 mi or more, wind 9 kt.

    Evidence for this update
    Latest observationSPECI KPHX 302042Z 08009KT 10SM TS SCT060CB BKN080 BKN100 OVC130 23/16 A2986 RMK AO2 TSE41B42 OCNL LTGCGIC S-SW TS S-SW MOV NE T02280156 $
    StationKPHX at Fri Oct 30, 1:42 PM MST
    Lightning28 flashes within 10 nm, 10 within 5 nm, in the 15 min to 1:51 PM, nearest 2.9 nm
    BasisSatellite lightning (GOES GLM)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-30 20:51 UTC)
    SourcesNOAA GOES satellite lightning data, flashes counted by Tailodds
    Provenanceweather weather-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. De-escalation Confirmed

    Official observation now reports thunderstorm at Phoenix

    What changed: lightning within 5 nm → thunderstorm

    The 1:51 PM MST official weather observation (METAR) for Phoenix (PHX) reports thunderstorm, ceiling 8000 ft, visibility 10 mi or more, wind 7 kt. Coded weather: “TS”. NOAA’s GOES satellite lightning data, counted by Tailodds, shows 31 flashes within 10 nm of the airport in the 15 minutes to 2:22 PM MST, the nearest 5.5 nm away. Source: NOAA Aviation Weather Center.

    Evidence for this update
    Latest observationMETAR KPHX 302051Z 08007KT 10SM TS SCT060CB BKN080 BKN100 OVC130 22/16 A2986 RMK AO2 SLP098 OCNL LTGCGIC SW TB41 TS SW MOV NE T02220161 56010 $
    StationKPHX at Fri Oct 30, 1:51 PM MST
    Lightning31 flashes within 10 nm, 0 within 5 nm, in the 15 min to 2:22 PM, nearest 5.5 nm
    BasisOfficial observation (METAR)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-30 21:22 UTC)
    SourcesOfficial weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗
    NOAA GOES satellite lightning data, flashes counted by Tailodds (supporting)
    Provenanceweather weather-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  4. Resolution Confirmed

    Official observation no longer reports thunderstorm or nearby lightning at Phoenix

    What changed: thunderstorm → no longer reported

    No official weather observation (METAR) for Phoenix (PHX) in the last 50 minutes reports a thunderstorm; it was last reported at 1:51 PM MST. The latest, at 2:37 PM MST, reports ceiling 8000 ft, visibility 10 mi or more, wind 9 kt. NOAA’s GOES satellite lightning data shows no flash within 10 nm of Phoenix in the 30 minutes to 2:50 PM MST.

    Evidence for this update
    Latest observationSPECI KPHX 302137Z 06009KT 10SM FEW048 SCT060 BKN080 BKN130 22/16 A2983 RMK AO2 RAB2056E17 TSB2056E37 OCNL LTGCGIC DSNT NE-E CB DSNT NE-E AND SW P0000 T02220161
    StationKPHX at Fri Oct 30, 2:37 PM MST
    Lightning0 flashes within 10 nm, 0 within 5 nm, in the 15 min to 2:50 PM, nearest 13.8 nm
    BasisOfficial observation (METAR)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-30 21:50 UTC)
    SourcesOfficial weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗
    NOAA GOES satellite lightning data, flashes counted by Tailodds (supporting)
    Provenanceweather weather-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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