JFK arrival delays worsen: 67% late in the last hour
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
JFK arrivals running late: 50% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour
Of 18 arrivals that landed between 9:54 AM and 10:54 AM EST, 9 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at JFK arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 9:54 AM–10:54 AM EST Sample 18 flights, 9 late (50%) Comparison 21% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 23.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-12 15:54 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
JFK arrival delays worsen: 71% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 50% → 71%
Of 14 arrivals that landed between 3:07 PM and 4:07 PM EST, 10 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at JFK arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 3:07 PM–4:07 PM EST Sample 14 flights, 10 late (71%) Comparison 21% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 33.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-12 21:07 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
JFK arrival delays ease: 52% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 71% → 52%
Of 23 arrivals that landed between 8:27 PM and 9:27 PM EST, 12 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at JFK arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 8:27 PM–9:27 PM EST Sample 23 flights, 12 late (52%) Comparison 21% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 29.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-13 02:27 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
JFK arrival delays worsen: 67% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 52% → 67%
Of 27 arrivals that landed between 8:53 PM and 9:53 PM EST, 18 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at JFK arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 8:53 PM–9:53 PM EST Sample 27 flights, 18 late (67%) Comparison 21% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 112.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-13 02:53 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?