Newark departure delays worsen: 75% late in the last hour
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
Newark departures running late: 87% left 15+ min late in the last hour
Of 15 departures that took off between 12:53 PM and 1:53 PM EST, 13 left at least 15 minutes late. Newark typically sees 19% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 12:53 PM–1:53 PM EST Sample 15 flights, 13 late (87%) Comparison 19% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour Median delay 39.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-12 18:53 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Newark departure delays ease: 65% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 87% → 65%
Of 17 departures that took off between 8:20 PM and 9:20 PM EST, 11 left at least 15 minutes late. Newark typically sees 33% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 8:20 PM–9:20 PM EST Sample 17 flights, 11 late (65%) Comparison 33% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 PM hour Median delay 67.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-13 02:20 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
Newark departure delays worsen: 75% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 65% → 75%
Of 20 departures that took off between 8:53 PM and 9:53 PM EST, 15 left at least 15 minutes late. Newark typically sees 29% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 8:53 PM–9:53 PM EST Sample 20 flights, 15 late (75%) Comparison 29% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour Median delay 95.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-13 02:53 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?