Model lowers expected cancellations among Love Field departures 6–9 AM Saturday to about 2
- Current state
- Resolved at 4:56 AM CST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 6
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Forecast
Model expects about 13 cancellations among Love Field departures 6–9 AM Saturday
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 13 of the 29 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (44%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 10:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~12.7 over 29 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Fri Nov 13, 10:00 PM CST · 7.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 04:57 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Forecast
Model raises expected cancellations to about 14 among Love Field departures 6–9 AM Saturday
What changed: about 13 → 14 expected cancellations since the 10:00 PM CST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 14 of the 29 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (47%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 12:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~13.6 over 29 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 12:00 AM CST · 5.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 06:57 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations to about 12 among Love Field departures 6–9 AM Saturday
What changed: about 14 → 12 expected cancellations since the 12:00 AM CST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 12 of the 29 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (43%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 1:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~12.4 over 29 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 1:00 AM CST · 3.5 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 08:27 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations to about 4 among Love Field departures 6–9 AM Saturday
What changed: about 12 → 4 expected cancellations since the 1:00 AM CST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 4 of the 29 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (14%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 2:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~4.1 over 29 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 2:00 AM CST · 3.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 08:57 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Forecast
Model raises expected cancellations to about 13 among Love Field departures 6–9 AM Saturday
What changed: about 4 → 13 expected cancellations since the 2:00 AM CST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 13 of the 29 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (44%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 3:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~12.7 over 29 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 3:00 AM CST · 2.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 09:58 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Resolution Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations among Love Field departures 6–9 AM Saturday to about 2
What changed: about 13 → 2
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 29 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (6%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 4:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~1.7 over 29 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 4:00 AM CST · 1.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 10:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?