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Forecast Major Developing Cancellation DAL departures

Model lowers expected cancellations to about 3 among Love Field departures noon–3 PM Saturday

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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 17 cancellations among Love Field departures noon–3 PM Saturday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 17 of the 40 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (43%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 5:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetDAL departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~17.1 over 40 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSat Nov 14, 5:00 AM CST · 6.0 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 11:57 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. De-escalation Forecast

    Model lowers expected cancellations to about 3 among Love Field departures noon–3 PM Saturday

    What changed: about 17 → 3 expected cancellations since the 5:00 AM CST forecast

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 40 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetDAL departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~3.5 over 40 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSat Nov 14, 6:00 AM CST · 4.6 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 13:26 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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