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Forecast Major Resolved Cancellation DAL departures

Model lowers expected cancellations among Love Field departures 3–6 PM Saturday to about 3

Current state
Resolved at 7:26 AM CST
Started
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 14 cancellations among Love Field departures 3–6 PM Saturday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 14 of the 33 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Saturday to be cancelled (41%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 5:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetDAL departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~13.5 over 33 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSat Nov 14, 5:00 AM CST · 9.0 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 11:57 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Resolution Forecast

    Model lowers expected cancellations among Love Field departures 3–6 PM Saturday to about 3

    What changed: about 14 → 3

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 33 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Saturday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetDAL departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~3.0 over 33 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSat Nov 14, 6:00 AM CST · 7.6 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 13:26 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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