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Forecast Major Resolved Cancellation DAL departures

Model lowers expected cancellations among Love Field departures 9 AM–noon Saturday to about 3

Current state
Resolved at 7:26 AM CST
Started
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 15 cancellations among Love Field departures 9 AM–noon Saturday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 15 of the 36 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (43%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 5:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetDAL departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-14 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~15.4 over 36 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSat Nov 14, 5:00 AM CST · 3.0 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 11:57 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Resolution Forecast

    Model lowers expected cancellations among Love Field departures 9 AM–noon Saturday to about 3

    What changed: about 15 → 3

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 36 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (8%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetDAL departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-14 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~2.8 over 36 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSat Nov 14, 6:00 AM CST · 1.6 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 13:26 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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