Model lowers expected cancellations among Love Field departures noon–3 PM Saturday to about 2
- Current state
- Resolved at 4:56 AM CST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Forecast
Model expects about 8 cancellations among Love Field departures noon–3 PM Saturday
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 40 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (20%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 12:00 AM CST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~8.0 over 40 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 12:00 AM CST · 11.0 h ahead Model version famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 06:57 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Forecast
Model raises expected cancellations to about 12 among Love Field departures noon–3 PM Saturday
What changed: about 8 → 12 expected cancellations since the 12:00 AM CST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 12 of the 39 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (32%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 1:00 AM CST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~12.4 over 39 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 1:00 AM CST · 9.5 h ahead Model version famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 08:27 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Forecast
Updated model now expects about 3 among Love Field departures noon–3 PM Saturday
What changed: about 12 → 3 expected cancellations since the 1:00 AM CST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 39 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (8%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 2:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~3.0 over 39 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 2:00 AM CST · 9.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i (changed since the previous update) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 08:57 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Forecast
Model raises expected cancellations to about 17 among Love Field departures noon–3 PM Saturday
What changed: about 3 → 17 expected cancellations since the 2:00 AM CST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 17 of the 40 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (41%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 3:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~16.6 over 40 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 3:00 AM CST · 8.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 09:58 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Resolution Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations among Love Field departures noon–3 PM Saturday to about 2
What changed: about 17 → 2
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 40 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 4:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~1.9 over 40 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 4:00 AM CST · 7.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 10:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?