Model lowers expected cancellations among Love Field departures 9 AM–noon Saturday to about 2
- Current state
- Resolved at 4:56 AM CST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 6
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Forecast
Model expects about 12 cancellations among Love Field departures 9 AM–noon Saturday
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 12 of the 36 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (34%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 10:00 PM CST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~12.2 over 36 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Fri Nov 13, 10:00 PM CST · 10.0 h ahead Model version famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 04:57 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Forecast
Updated model now expects about 16 among Love Field departures 9 AM–noon Saturday
What changed: about 12 → 16 expected cancellations since the 10:00 PM CST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 16 of the 36 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (45%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 11:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~16.1 over 36 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Fri Nov 13, 11:00 PM CST · 9.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i (changed since the previous update) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 05:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations to about 14 among Love Field departures 9 AM–noon Saturday
What changed: about 16 → 14 expected cancellations since the 11:00 PM CST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 14 of the 36 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (40%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 1:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~14.5 over 36 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 1:00 AM CST · 6.5 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 08:27 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations to about 4 among Love Field departures 9 AM–noon Saturday
What changed: about 14 → 4 expected cancellations since the 1:00 AM CST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 4 of the 36 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (12%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 2:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~4.5 over 36 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 2:00 AM CST · 6.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 08:57 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Forecast
Model raises expected cancellations to about 16 among Love Field departures 9 AM–noon Saturday
What changed: about 4 → 16 expected cancellations since the 2:00 AM CST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 16 of the 36 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (45%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 3:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~16.0 over 36 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 3:00 AM CST · 5.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 09:58 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Resolution Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations among Love Field departures 9 AM–noon Saturday to about 2
What changed: about 16 → 2
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 36 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 4:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~1.9 over 36 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 4:00 AM CST · 4.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 10:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?