tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 1 minFAA NAS status <1 minForecast cycle 1 hLightning <1 minWeather observations 2 minFAA surface data 3 minFAA flight data 3 min
Forecast Major New Cancellation AUS departures

Model expects about 16 cancellations among Austin departures noon–3 PM Saturday

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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 16 cancellations among Austin departures noon–3 PM Saturday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 16 of the 56 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (29%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetAUS departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~16.4 over 56 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSat Nov 14, 6:00 AM CST · 4.6 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 13:26 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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