tailodds FORECAST
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Observed Major New Delay DCA departures

National departures running late: 60% left 15+ min late in the last hour

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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Observed

    National departures running late: 60% left 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 15 departures that took off between 12:06 PM and 1:06 PM EST, 9 left at least 15 minutes late. National typically sees 24% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window12:06 PM–1:06 PM EST
    Sample15 flights, 9 late (60%)
    Comparison24% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 PM hour
    Median delay29.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 18:06 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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