Model lowers expected cancellations among Minneapolis departures 3–6 PM Sunday to about 3
- Current state
- Resolved at 7:26 AM CST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Forecast
Model expects about 5 cancellations among Minneapolis departures 3–6 PM Sunday
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 76 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Sunday to be cancelled (7%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 5:00 AM CST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target MSP departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-15 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~5.3 over 76 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sun Nov 15, 5:00 AM CST · 9.1 h ahead Model version famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 11:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Resolution Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations among Minneapolis departures 3–6 PM Sunday to about 3
What changed: about 5 → 3
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 76 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Sunday to be cancelled (4%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target MSP departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-15 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~2.9 over 76 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sun Nov 15, 6:00 AM CST · 7.6 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i (changed since the previous update) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 13:26 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?