Phoenix arrivals back near normal: 23% late in the last hour
- Current state
- Resolved at 10:23 PM MST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 4
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
Phoenix arrivals running late: 56% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour
Of 25 arrivals that landed between 3:26 PM and 4:26 PM MST, 14 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 3:26 PM–4:26 PM MST Sample 25 flights, 14 late (56%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 20.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-21 23:26 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
Phoenix arrival delays worsen: 70% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 56% → 70%
Of 30 arrivals that landed between 3:46 PM and 4:46 PM MST, 21 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 3:46 PM–4:46 PM MST Sample 30 flights, 21 late (70%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 27.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-21 23:46 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Phoenix arrival delays ease: 50% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 70% → 50%
Of 26 arrivals that landed between 4:48 PM and 5:48 PM MST, 13 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 4:48 PM–5:48 PM MST Sample 26 flights, 13 late (50%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 17.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-22 00:48 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
Phoenix arrivals back near normal: 23% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 73% at worst → 23% now
Of 22 arrivals that landed between 9:23 PM and 10:23 PM MST, 5 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 30 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 9:23 PM–10:23 PM MST Sample 22 flights, 5 late (23%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay -7.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-22 05:23 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?