tailodds FORECAST

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Sourced developments at US airports: what the FAA reports at every airport, and what we measure and our model forecasts at the busiest ones.

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Passenger events at your flight's airports

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Departures: events affecting flights leaving the airport. Arrivals: flights going to it.

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“Today” and dates above start at midnight in this zone. Each item shows its airport’s local time; hover a time for UTC.

Clear
Type: Cancellation ×Airport: SAN × Clear filters
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PST, Nov 14 3 h ago
Forecast Major Developing Escalation Cancellation SAN departures

Model raises expected cancellations to about 11 among San Diego departures 6–9 AM Sunday

What changed: about 5 → 11 expected cancellations since the 6:00 PM PST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 11 of the 75 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Sunday to be cancelled (15%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 7:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~11 cancellationsHorizon 10.0 hModel famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (2) 1 earlier matching update View SAN
PST, Nov 14 5 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved De-escalation Cancellation SAN departures

Model lowers expected cancellations to about 6 among San Diego departures 6–9 PM Saturday

What changed: about 7 → 6 expected cancellations since the 2:00 PM PST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 29 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Saturday to be cancelled (22%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 4:00 PM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~6 cancellationsHorizon 0.6 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (8) 7 earlier matching updates View SAN
PST, Nov 14 8 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved Escalation Cancellation SAN departures

Model raises expected cancellations to about 12 among San Diego departures 3–6 PM Saturday

What changed: about 9 → 12 expected cancellations since the 1:00 PM PST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 12 of the 53 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Saturday to be cancelled (22%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 2:00 PM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~12 cancellationsHorizon 0.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (9) 8 earlier matching updates View SAN
PST, Nov 14 12 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved De-escalation Cancellation SAN departures

Model lowers expected cancellations to about 10 among San Diego departures noon–3 PM Saturday

What changed: about 23 → 10 expected cancellations since the 9:00 AM PST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 10 of the 58 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (17%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 10:00 AM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~10 cancellationsHorizon 1.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (6) 5 earlier matching updates View SAN
PST, Nov 14 15 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved Escalation Cancellation SAN departures

Model raises expected cancellations to about 21 among San Diego departures 9 AM–noon Saturday

What changed: about 8 → 21 expected cancellations since the 6:00 AM PST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 21 of the 67 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (32%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 7:00 AM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~21 cancellationsHorizon 1.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (9) 8 earlier matching updates View SAN
PST, Nov 14 17 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved De-escalation Cancellation SAN departures

Model lowers expected cancellations to about 6 among San Diego departures 6–9 AM Saturday

What changed: about 8 → 6 expected cancellations since the 1:00 AM PST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 57 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 4:00 AM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~6 cancellationsHorizon 0.6 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (7) 6 earlier matching updates View SAN
PST, Nov 13 28 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved Cancellation SAN departures

Model expects about 15 cancellations among San Diego departures 9 PM–midnight Friday

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 15 of the 35 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Friday to be cancelled (43%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 6:00 PM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~15 cancellationsHorizon 2.0 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (1) View SAN
PST, Nov 13 29 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved Escalation Cancellation SAN departures

Model raises expected cancellations to about 19 among San Diego departures 6–9 PM Friday

What changed: about 9 → 19 expected cancellations since the 3:00 PM PST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 19 of the 54 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Friday to be cancelled (36%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 4:00 PM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~20 cancellationsHorizon 0.5 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (3) 2 earlier matching updates View SAN
PST, Nov 13 33 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved Cancellation SAN departures

Model expects about 7 cancellations among San Diego departures 3–6 PM Friday

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 58 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Friday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 1:00 PM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~7 cancellationsHorizon 1.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (1) View SAN

Each item is the latest update matching your filters; the event’s current status is on its chip. All updates shows the full chronological wire.

Confirmed
An official source (the FAA) reports it. We attribute it; we don’t independently verify it.
Observed
We measured it from FAA flight data: window, sample size and the typical level are on the item.
Forecast
Our model predicts it, with its probability, target, horizon and model version. It has not happened. How accurate is it?

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Matches: Type: Cancellation · Airport: SAN. Alerts arrive as in-app notifications here; email isn’t switched on for this site.

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