tailodds FORECAST
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ConfirmedObserved Significant Resolved Weather PHX arrivals and departures

Official observation no longer reports thunderstorm or nearby lightning at Phoenix

Current state
Resolved at 10:41 AM MST
Started
Latest activity
Updates
4
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Lightning within 10 nm of Phoenix: 3 flashes in 15 minutes

    Tailodds counted 3 lightning flashes within 10 nautical miles of Phoenix (PHX) in the 15 minutes to 7:52 AM MST, 0 of them within 5 nm, the nearest 5.5 nm away, in NOAA’s GOES satellite lightning data. The latest official observation, at 6:51 AM MST, reports ceiling 11000 ft, visibility 10 mi or more, wind 10 kt.

    Evidence for this update
    Latest observationMETAR KPHX 301351Z 09010KT 10SM SCT090 BKN110 BKN140 BKN250 21/13 A2985 RMK AO2 SLP094 OCNL LTGCG DSNT W CB DSNT W T02060133 $
    StationKPHX at Fri Oct 30, 6:51 AM MST
    Lightning3 flashes within 10 nm, 0 within 5 nm, in the 15 min to 7:52 AM, nearest 5.5 nm
    BasisSatellite lightning (GOES GLM)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-30 14:52 UTC)
    SourcesNOAA GOES satellite lightning data, flashes counted by Tailodds
    Provenanceweather weather-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    Lightning now within 5 nm of Phoenix: 13 flashes in 15 minutes

    What changed: lightning within 10 nm → lightning within 5 nm

    Tailodds counted 28 lightning flashes within 10 nautical miles of Phoenix (PHX) in the 15 minutes to 9:35 AM MST, 13 of them within 5 nm, the nearest 2.5 nm away, in NOAA’s GOES satellite lightning data. The latest official observation, at 8:52 AM MST, reports light thunderstorm with rain, ceiling 9500 ft, visibility 3 mi, wind 12 kt.

    Evidence for this update
    Latest observationSPECI KPHX 301552Z COR 08012KT 3SM -TSRA FEW024 SCT070CB BKN095 OVC150 19/16 A2987 RMK AO2 RB1455E02B47 TE06 OCNL LTGCGIC OHD AND NE-SE TS OHD AND NE-SE MOV NE OCNL LTGCGIC DSNT W-NW CB DSNT W-NW P0000 T01940156 $
    StationKPHX at Fri Oct 30, 8:52 AM MST
    Lightning28 flashes within 10 nm, 13 within 5 nm, in the 15 min to 9:35 AM, nearest 2.5 nm
    BasisSatellite lightning (GOES GLM)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-30 16:35 UTC)
    SourcesNOAA GOES satellite lightning data, flashes counted by Tailodds
    Provenanceweather weather-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. De-escalation Confirmed

    Official observation now reports thunderstorm at Phoenix

    What changed: lightning within 5 nm → thunderstorm

    The 9:51 AM MST official weather observation (METAR) for Phoenix (PHX) reports thunderstorm, ceiling 4700 ft, visibility 10 mi or more, wind 3 kt. Coded weather: “TS”. NOAA’s GOES satellite lightning data, counted by Tailodds, shows 2 flashes within 10 nm of the airport in the 15 minutes to 10:06 AM MST, the nearest 7.4 nm away. Source: NOAA Aviation Weather Center.

    Evidence for this update
    Latest observationMETAR KPHX 301651Z 01003KT 10SM TS BKN047 BKN080CB BKN130 OVC150 21/15 A2990 RMK AO2 RAE1559 SLP113 RB1455E02B47 TE06 OCNL LTGCGIC VC NE TS VC NE OCNL LTGCGIC DSNT N-E AND NW-N CB DSNT N-E AND NW-N P0010 T02060150 $
    StationKPHX at Fri Oct 30, 9:51 AM MST
    Lightning2 flashes within 10 nm, 0 within 5 nm, in the 15 min to 10:06 AM, nearest 7.4 nm
    BasisOfficial observation (METAR)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-30 17:06 UTC)
    SourcesOfficial weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗
    NOAA GOES satellite lightning data, flashes counted by Tailodds (supporting)
    Provenanceweather weather-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  4. Resolution Confirmed

    Official observation no longer reports thunderstorm or nearby lightning at Phoenix

    What changed: thunderstorm → no longer reported

    No official weather observation (METAR) for Phoenix (PHX) in the last 50 minutes reports a thunderstorm; it was last reported at 9:51 AM MST. The latest, at 10:03 AM MST, reports ceiling 4700 ft, visibility 10 mi or more, wind 9 kt. NOAA’s GOES satellite lightning data shows no flash within 10 nm of Phoenix in the 30 minutes to 10:41 AM MST.

    Evidence for this update
    Latest observationSPECI KPHX 301703Z COR 02009KT 10SM BKN047 BKN080 BKN130 OVC150 21/15 A2990 RMK AO2 TE01 OCNL LTGCGIC DSNT N-E AND NW CB DSNT N-E AND NW T02060150 $
    StationKPHX at Fri Oct 30, 10:03 AM MST
    Lightning0 flashes within 10 nm, 0 within 5 nm, in the 15 min to 10:41 AM, nearest 19.9 nm
    BasisOfficial observation (METAR)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-30 17:41 UTC)
    SourcesOfficial weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗
    NOAA GOES satellite lightning data, flashes counted by Tailodds (supporting)
    Provenanceweather weather-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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