Phoenix arrivals back near normal: 22% late in the last hour
- Current state
- Resolved at 12:49 PM MST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 2
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
Phoenix arrivals running late: 48% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour
Of 27 arrivals that landed between 9:17 AM and 10:17 AM MST, 13 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 9:17 AM–10:17 AM MST Sample 27 flights, 13 late (48%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 13.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-30 17:17 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
Phoenix arrivals back near normal: 22% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 64% at worst → 22% now
Of 18 arrivals that landed between 11:49 AM and 12:49 PM MST, 4 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 11:49 AM–12:49 PM MST Sample 18 flights, 4 late (22%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay -1.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-30 19:49 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?