Model lowers expected cancellations among Tampa departures 9 AM–noon Saturday to about 2
- Current state
- Resolved at 3:57 AM EST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 2
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Forecast
Model expects about 5 cancellations among Tampa departures 9 AM–noon Saturday
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 38 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (14%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 1:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target TPA departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~5.3 over 38 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 1:00 AM EST · 7.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 06:57 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Resolution Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations among Tampa departures 9 AM–noon Saturday to about 2
What changed: about 5 → 2
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 38 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (6%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 3:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target TPA departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~2.4 over 38 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 3:00 AM EST · 5.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 08:57 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?