Model lowers expected cancellations among Tampa departures noon–3 PM Saturday to about 3
- Current state
- Resolved at 3:57 AM EST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Forecast
Model expects about 6 cancellations among Tampa departures noon–3 PM Saturday
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 47 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (13%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 2:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target TPA departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~6.1 over 47 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 2:00 AM EST · 8.5 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 08:27 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Resolution Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations among Tampa departures noon–3 PM Saturday to about 3
What changed: about 6 → 3
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 47 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 3:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target TPA departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~2.5 over 47 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 3:00 AM EST · 8.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 08:57 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?