tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 5 minFAA NAS status 1 minForecast cycle 1 hLightning 2 minWeather observations 5 minFAA surface data 4 minFAA flight data 4 min
Forecast Major New Cancellation TPA departures

Model expects about 6 cancellations among Tampa departures noon–3 PM Saturday

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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 6 cancellations among Tampa departures noon–3 PM Saturday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 47 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (12%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 5:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetTPA departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~5.8 over 47 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSat Nov 14, 5:00 AM EST · 6.1 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 10:56 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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