tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 4 minFAA NAS status 1 minForecast cycle 73 minLightning 1 minWeather observations 4 minFAA surface data 3 minFAA flight data 3 min
Forecast Significant New Cancellation MSP departures

Model expects about 5 cancellations among Minneapolis departures 3–6 PM Saturday

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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 5 cancellations among Minneapolis departures 3–6 PM Saturday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 61 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Saturday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 11:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetMSP departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~5.4 over 61 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSat Nov 14, 11:00 AM CST · 3.1 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 17:56 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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