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Observed Major Developing Delay MSP departures

Minneapolis departure delays worsen: 64% late in the last hour

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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Minneapolis departures running late: 45% left 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 20 departures that took off between 7:21 AM and 8:21 AM CST, 9 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 10% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window7:21 AM–8:21 AM CST
    Sample20 flights, 9 late (45%)
    Comparison10% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 AM hour
    Median delay14.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 14:21 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    Minneapolis departure delays worsen: 71% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 45% → 71%

    Of 17 departures that took off between 9:33 AM and 10:33 AM CST, 12 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 17% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window9:33 AM–10:33 AM CST
    Sample17 flights, 12 late (71%)
    Comparison17% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour
    Median delay23.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 16:33 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. De-escalation Observed

    Minneapolis departure delays ease: 50% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 71% → 50%

    Of 14 departures that took off between 9:54 AM and 10:54 AM CST, 7 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 17% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window9:54 AM–10:54 AM CST
    Sample14 flights, 7 late (50%)
    Comparison17% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour
    Median delay17.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 16:54 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  4. Escalation Observed

    Minneapolis departure delays worsen: 64% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 50% → 64%

    Of 25 departures that took off between 10:39 AM and 11:39 AM CST, 16 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 18% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window10:39 AM–11:39 AM CST
    Sample25 flights, 16 late (64%)
    Comparison18% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour
    Median delay17.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 17:39 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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