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Type: Cancellation ×Airport: ATL × Clear filters
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EST, Nov 15 1 h ago
Forecast Significant Developing De-escalation Cancellation ATL departures

Model lowers expected cancellations to about 17 among Atlanta departures 3–6 PM Sunday

What changed: about 28 → 17 expected cancellations since the 9:00 AM EST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 17 of the 247 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Sunday to be cancelled (7%). With calm weather it would expect about 2. From the 11:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~16 cancellationsHorizon 3.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (4) 3 earlier matching updates View ATL
EST, Nov 15 1 h ago
Forecast Significant Resolved De-escalation Cancellation ATL departures

Model lowers expected cancellations to about 17 among Atlanta departures noon–3 PM Sunday

What changed: about 22 → 17 expected cancellations since the 8:00 AM EST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 17 of the 208 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Sunday to be cancelled (8%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 11:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~17 cancellationsHorizon 0.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (7) 6 earlier matching updates View ATL
EST, Nov 15 2 h ago
Forecast Significant New Cancellation ATL departures

Model expects about 11 cancellations among Atlanta departures 9 PM–midnight Sunday

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 11 of the 166 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Sunday to be cancelled (7%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 10:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~11 cancellationsHorizon 10.0 hModel famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (1) View ATL
EST, Nov 15 5 h ago
Forecast Significant New Cancellation ATL departures

Model expects about 11 cancellations among Atlanta departures 6–9 PM Sunday

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 11 of the 207 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Sunday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 7:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~11 cancellationsHorizon 9.6 hModel famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (1) View ATL
EST, Nov 15 5 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved Escalation Cancellation ATL departures

Model raises expected cancellations to about 30 among Atlanta departures 9 AM–noon Sunday

What changed: about 25 → 30 expected cancellations since the 5:00 AM EST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 30 of the 263 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Sunday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 2. From the 7:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~30 cancellationsHorizon 0.6 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (6) 5 earlier matching updates View ATL
EST, Nov 15 8 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved De-escalation Cancellation ATL departures

Model lowers expected cancellations to about 17 among Atlanta departures 6–9 AM Sunday

What changed: about 24 → 17 expected cancellations since the 11:00 PM EST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 17 of the 162 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Sunday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 4:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~17 cancellationsHorizon 1.0 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (4) 3 earlier matching updates View ATL
EST, Nov 14 20 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved De-escalation Cancellation ATL departures

Model lowers expected cancellations to about 17 among Atlanta departures 9 PM–midnight Saturday

What changed: about 29 → 17 expected cancellations since the 2:00 PM EST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 17 of the 129 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Saturday to be cancelled (13%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 4:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~17 cancellationsHorizon 4.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (7) 6 earlier matching updates View ATL
EST, Nov 14 20 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved De-escalation Cancellation ATL departures

Model lowers expected cancellations to about 24 among Atlanta departures 6–9 PM Saturday

What changed: about 39 → 24 expected cancellations since the 2:00 PM EST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 24 of the 180 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Saturday to be cancelled (13%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 4:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~24 cancellationsHorizon 1.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (6) 5 earlier matching updates View ATL
EST, Nov 14 24 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved De-escalation Cancellation ATL departures

Model lowers expected cancellations to about 38 among Atlanta departures 3–6 PM Saturday

What changed: about 89 → 38 expected cancellations since the 11:00 AM EST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 38 of the 203 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Saturday to be cancelled (19%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 12:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~38 cancellationsHorizon 2.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (4) 3 earlier matching updates View ATL
EST, Nov 14 26 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved Escalation Cancellation ATL departures

Model raises expected cancellations to about 82 among Atlanta departures noon–3 PM Saturday

What changed: about 74 → 82 expected cancellations since the 8:00 AM EST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 82 of the 179 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (46%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 10:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~82 cancellationsHorizon 1.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (5) 4 earlier matching updates View ATL
EST, Nov 14 29 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved Escalation Cancellation ATL departures

Model raises expected cancellations to about 36 among Atlanta departures 9 AM–noon Saturday

What changed: about 26 → 36 expected cancellations since the 5:00 AM EST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 36 of the 260 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (14%). With calm weather it would expect about 2. From the 7:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~36 cancellationsHorizon 0.6 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (5) 4 earlier matching updates View ATL
EST, Nov 14 31 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved Escalation Cancellation ATL departures

Model raises expected cancellations to about 16 among Atlanta departures 6–9 AM Saturday

What changed: about 10 → 16 expected cancellations since the 2:00 AM EST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 16 of the 140 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 5:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~16 cancellationsHorizon 0.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (5) 4 earlier matching updates View ATL
EST, Nov 13 37 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved Cancellation ATL departures

Model expects about 7 cancellations among Atlanta departures midnight–3 AM Saturday

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 19 departures scheduled midnight–3 AM Saturday to be cancelled (39%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 11:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~8 cancellationsHorizon 0.0 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (1) View ATL
EST, Nov 13 41 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved Escalation Cancellation ATL departures

Model raises expected cancellations to about 47 among Atlanta departures 9 PM–midnight Friday

What changed: about 31 → 47 expected cancellations since the 6:00 PM EST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 47 of the 137 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Friday to be cancelled (35%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 7:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~47 cancellationsHorizon 0.5 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (3) 2 earlier matching updates View ATL
EST, Nov 13 43 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved Escalation Cancellation ATL departures

Model raises expected cancellations to about 22 among Atlanta departures 6–9 PM Friday

What changed: about 19 → 22 expected cancellations since the 4:00 PM EST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 22 of the 208 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Friday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 2. From the 5:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~22 cancellationsHorizon 0.0 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (2) 1 earlier matching update View ATL

Each item is the latest update matching your filters; the event’s current status is on its chip. All updates shows the full chronological wire.

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An official source (the FAA) reports it. We attribute it; we don’t independently verify it.
Observed
We measured it from FAA flight data: window, sample size and the typical level are on the item.
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Our model predicts it, with its probability, target, horizon and model version. It has not happened. How accurate is it?

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