tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 6 minFAA NAS status 2 minForecast cycle 1 hLightning 2 minWeather observations 5 minFAA surface data 3 minFAA flight data 3 min
Observed Major Resolved Delay TPA arrivals

Tampa arrival delays worsen: 77% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
2
Create monitor View TPAFlights at TPA

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Tampa arrivals running late: 56% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 16 arrivals that landed between 4:45 PM and 5:45 PM EST, 9 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 23% of arrivals at Tampa arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window4:45 PM–5:45 PM EST
    Sample16 flights, 9 late (56%)
    Comparison23% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay38.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 22:45 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?
  2. Escalation Observed

    Tampa arrival delays worsen: 77% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 56% → 77%

    Of 13 arrivals that landed between 9:45 PM and 10:45 PM EST, 10 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 23% of arrivals at Tampa arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window9:45 PM–10:45 PM EST
    Sample13 flights, 10 late (77%)
    Comparison23% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay51.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-15 03:45 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?

Closed Sun Nov 15, 5:15 AM EST: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.