Sourced developments at US airports: what the FAA reports at every airport, and what we measure and our model forecasts at the busiest ones.
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 221 hstaleForecast cycle 1 hLightning 221 hstaleWeather observations no datastaleFAA surface data 5 minFAA flight data 5 min
FAA NAS status is stale (221 h old).
No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.
Lightning is stale (221 h old).
Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.
Weather observations is stale.
Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.
▲ about 7 → 10 expected cancellations since the 2:00 AM EST forecast
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 10 of the 71 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Friday to be cancelled (14%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 3:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
▲ about 9 → 14 expected cancellations since the 2:00 AM EST forecast
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 14 of the 98 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Friday to be cancelled (14%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 3:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
▼ about 8 → 4 expected cancellations since the 2:00 AM EST forecast
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 4 of the 77 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Friday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 3:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
▼ about 11 → 10 expected cancellations since the 2:00 AM EST forecast
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 10 of the 110 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Friday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 3:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
▲ about 6 → 7 expected cancellations since the 1:00 AM EST forecast
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 71 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Friday to be cancelled (10%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 2:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
▼ about 10 → 9 expected cancellations since the 12:00 AM EST forecast
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 98 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Friday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 2:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
▼ about 12 → 11 expected cancellations since the 11:00 PM EST forecast
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 11 of the 110 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Friday to be cancelled (10%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 2:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 77 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Friday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 2:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
▼ about 11 → 8 expected cancellations since the 1:00 AM EST forecast
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 104 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Friday to be cancelled (7%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 2:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
▼ about 11 → 7 expected cancellations since the 1:00 AM EST forecast
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 102 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Friday to be cancelled (7%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 2:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
▼ about 12 → 9 expected cancellations since the 1:00 AM EST forecast
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 101 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Friday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 2:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
▼ about 21 → 10 expected cancellations since the 1:00 AM EST forecast
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 10 of the 113 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Friday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 2:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
▼ about 19 → 11 expected cancellations since the 1:00 AM EST forecast
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 11 of the 110 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Friday to be cancelled (10%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 2:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 71 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Friday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 1:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
▼ about 16 → 11 expected cancellations since the 12:00 AM EST forecast
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 11 of the 104 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Friday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 1:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
▼ about 15 → 11 expected cancellations since the 12:00 AM EST forecast
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 11 of the 102 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Friday to be cancelled (10%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 1:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 12 of the 101 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Friday to be cancelled (12%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 1:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
▲ about 11 → 21 expected cancellations since the 11:00 PM EST forecast
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 21 of the 113 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Friday to be cancelled (19%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 1:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
▲ about 11 → 19 expected cancellations since the 11:00 PM EST forecast
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 19 of the 110 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Friday to be cancelled (18%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 1:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
▲ about 10 → 10 expected cancellations since the 11:00 PM EST forecast
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 10 of the 98 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Friday to be cancelled (10%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 12:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 69 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Friday to be cancelled (8%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 12:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
▼ about 34 → 16 expected cancellations since the 11:00 PM EST forecast
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 16 of the 104 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Friday to be cancelled (15%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 12:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
▼ about 27 → 15 expected cancellations since the 11:00 PM EST forecast
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 15 of the 102 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Friday to be cancelled (14%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 12:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
▼ about 23 → 10 expected cancellations since the 10:00 PM EST forecast
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 10 of the 97 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Friday to be cancelled (10%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 11:00 PM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
▼ about 32 → 12 expected cancellations since the 10:00 PM EST forecast
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 12 of the 111 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Friday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 11:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.